Rams @ Cardinals: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2024)

Sun, Sep 15, 2024, 4:05 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Arizona Cardinals · Division game

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Los Angeles Rams

0-1 · Power #16

final

Final

Arizona Cardinals

0-1 · Power #17

▲ winner

Closing spread

ARI -1.5

✓ ARI W

Total

47.5

▲ Over · 51 pts

Model before kickoff

LAR 24–25 ARI

✓ ARI (54%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenLAR -2.5

CloseARI -1.5

Total47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenLAR -2.5

4 → ARI

CloseARI -1.5

4 pts toward Arizona Cardinals

Total

Open47.5

no move

Close47.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened LAR -2.5 · closed ARI -1.5 · moved 4 toward ARImodel LAR -1.5

model LAR -1.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 0.5–3.5 since 2023: won 71%, covered 58% (77 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenLAR -2.5

CloseARI -1.5

Total47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ARI as a 1.5-point home favorite against LAR, the favorite won 6, covered 6, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: ARI won 41–10; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 51 points went over 47.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 56%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 42%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6.1 against an average line of 1.8; 42.9 points a game (usually 43.1). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	WSH vs SEA 2021 · Week 12 · loose · similar rest & season form	-1	17–15	W	U47
Loose	ATL vs CHI 2022 · Week 11 · loose · similar season form	-2	27–24	W	O48
Loose	LV vs WSH 2021 · Week 13 · loose · similar season form	-1.5	15–17	L	U48.5
Loose	ATL vs CAR 2021 · Week 8 · loose · similar rest & situation	-2.5	13–19	L	U46.5
Loose	PIT vs CLE 2021 · Week 17 · loose · similar rest & team ratings	-1	26–14	W	U43.5
Loose	ARI vs SEA 2022 · Week 9 · loose · similar rest & situation	-2	21–31	L	O49
Loose	SEA vs ATL 2022 · Week 3 · loose · similar rest & season form	-1	23–27	L	O43.5
Loose	DET vs JAX 2022 · Week 13 · loose	-1	40–14	W	O51
Loose	DET vs MIN 2022 · Week 14 · loose · similar rest	-2.5	34–23	W	O51.5
Loose	NE vs DET 2022 · Week 5 · loose · similar rest & season form	-3	29–0	W	U47

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LAR L	0-1	0%	0-1	0-1
ARI W	1-0	100%	—	—

Venue/role: LAR away, as underdog; ARI home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LAR U	0-1	0%	0-1
ARI O	1-0	100%	0-1

Went over in Q4. Of 40 earlier overs in games with totals 44.5–50.5, 23% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LAR	7-3 70%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%
ARI	3-7 30%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

LAR 29–21 ARI LAR leads · 50 games since 2002 · ARI has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 26 2023	Los Angeles Rams 37 @ Arizona Cardinals 14	LAR -3	LAR W
Oct 15 2023	Arizona Cardinals 9 @ Los Angeles Rams 26	LAR -7.5	LAR W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LAR+0.7 →+0.7–#12

ARI−1.7 →−1.7–#28

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

LAR

Longer bar = better

ARI

#15

Offense

Even

#18

#24

Defense

◀ LAR better

#29

0.0 #19

Turnovers

Even

0.0 #17

74 plays #4

Pace

◀ LAR faster

60 plays #16

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LAR has the ball

Advantage: LAR offense

	LAR off	ARI def	Edge
Points / game	20.0 #20	34.0 #29	LAR
Yards / play	5.23 #18	6.07 #24	LAR
EPA / play	+0.04 #15	+0.22 #31	LAR
Success rate	47% #8	58% #32	LAR

When ARI has the ball

Advantage: ARI offense

	ARI off	LAR def	Edge
Points / game	28.0 #10	26.0 #21	ARI
Yards / play	4.50 #24	5.95 #23	Even
EPA / play	+0.06 #12	+0.11 #24	ARI
Success rate	38% #24	51% #29	ARI

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.