Giants vs Panthers: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2024)

Sun, Nov 10, 2024, 9:30 AM ESTWeek 10 · Neutral site

Weather at kickoff41°F4 mphgusts 9DryWeather watch ›

New York Giants

2-7 · Power #31

final

Final

Carolina Panthers

2-7 · Power #32

▲ winner

Closing spread

NYG -6.5

✓ CAR W

Total

40.5

▼ Under · 37 pts

Model before kickoff

NYG 25–19 CAR

✗ NYG (71%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenNYG -5

CloseNYG -6.5

Total41.5 → 40.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenNYG -5

1.5 → NYG

CloseNYG -6.5

1.5 pts toward New York Giants

Total

Open41.5

▼ 1

Close40.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened NYG -5 · closed NYG -6.5 · moved 1.5 toward NYGmodel NYG -4

model NYG -4

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 48% (27 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenNYG -5

CloseNYG -6.5

Total41.5 → 40.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 1 games most like NYG as a 6.5-point neutral-site favorite against CAR, the favorite won 1, covered 1, and 1 went over the total.

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This game: CAR won 20–17 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 0 of the 1 similar games. 37 points stayed under 40.5, as in 0 of 1.

Favorite won

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 65%

Favorite covered

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 43%

Went over

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 49%

Only 1 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 16 against an average line of 6.5; 48 points a game (usually 45.9). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 1 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	JAX vs NE 2024 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & spread	-6.5	32–16	W	O41.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
NYG WLLLL	3-6	33%	—	0-1
CAR LLLLW	2-7	22%	—	2-7

Venue/role: NYG neutral, as favorite; CAR neutral, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NYG OUUOO	3-6	33%	2-7
CAR OOUOO	7-2	78%	2-7

Stayed under: it needed 17 in the 4th quarter and got 13. 50% of games with totals 37.5–43.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NYG	3-7 30%	4-6 40%	3-7 30%
CAR	2-8 20%	2-8 20%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

NYG 6–7 CAR CAR leads · 13 games since 2003 · CAR has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NYG−2.2 →−3.8▼ 1.6#29

CAR−2.5 →−7.6▼ 5.1#32

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

NYG

Longer bar = better

CAR

#26

Offense

Even

#28

#22

Defense

◀ NYG better

#31

−0.4 #24

Turnovers

Even

−0.8 #27

64 plays #8

Pace

◀ NYG faster

57 plays #31

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NYG has the ball

Even matchup

	NYG off	CAR def	Edge
Points / game	15.4 #32	32.6 #32	Even
Yards / play	4.76 #27	5.93 #30	Even
EPA / play	−0.07 #24	+0.15 #30	NYG
Success rate	41% #21	48% #31	NYG

When CAR has the ball

Advantage: NYG defense

	CAR off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	16.3 #29	22.4 #15	NYG
Yards / play	4.87 #26	5.65 #22	Even
EPA / play	−0.17 #30	+0.06 #25	NYG
Success rate	39% #26	46% #26	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

NYG scoring against the CAR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	2.4 #27	5.8 #22	8.2 #26	2.9 #27	4.3 #29	7.2 #31
CAR allowed	7.4 #32	13.4 #32	20.9 #32	5.4 #19	6.2 #19	11.7 #19

CAR scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CAR scored	3.1 #25	5.7 #23	8.8 #24	4.0 #20	3.6 #30	7.6 #29
NYG allowed	5.7 #28	6.0 #11	11.7 #19	5.1 #15	5.7 #16	10.8 #16

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.