Giants @ Seahawks: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 5, 2024)

Sun, Oct 6, 2024, 4:25 PM EDTWeek 5 · at Seattle Seahawks

Weather at kickoff60°F4 mphgusts 11DryWeather watch ›

New York Giants

1-3 · Power #31

▲ winner

Final

Seattle Seahawks

3-1 · Power #19

final

Closing spread

SEA -7.5

✓ NYG W

Total

41.5

▲ Over · 49 pts

Model before kickoff

NYG 19–26 SEA

✗ SEA (74%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenSEA -5.5

CloseSEA -7.5

Total41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenSEA -5.5

2 → SEA

CloseSEA -7.5

2 pts toward Seattle Seahawks

Total

Open41.5

no move

Close41.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened SEA -5.5 · closed SEA -7.5 · moved 2 toward SEAmodel SEA -4.5

model SEA -4.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 5.5–9.5 since 2023: won 63%, covered 43% (63 games)ⓘ

Crossed 7Too few earlier games to rateⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenSEA -5.5

CloseSEA -7.5

Total41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SEA as a 7.5-point home favorite against NYG, the favorite won 7, covered 3, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: NYG won 29–20 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 49 points went over 41.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 68%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 43%

Went over

5 of 956%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 4.6 against an average line of 7.7; 42.2 points a game (usually 46.4). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	KC vs CIN 2024 · Week 2 · close · similar situation & team ratings	-6.5	26–25	L	O47.5
Close	CIN vs WSH 2024 · Week 3 · close · similar situation & rest	-7.5	33–38	L	O46.5
Close	HOU vs CHI 2024 · Week 2 · close · similar team ratings & situation	-6.5	19–13	L	U45.5
Close	NYJ vs DEN 2024 · Week 4 · close · similar situation & spread	-8.5	9–10	L	U39.5
Close	SF vs NE 2024 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & situation	-10.5	30–13	W	O41.5
Loose	NE vs CHI 2022 · Week 7 · loose · similar situation & season form	-8.5	14–33	L	O40
Loose	JAX vs TEN 2022 · Week 18 · loose · similar rest & team ratings	-6	20–16	L	U40
Loose	BAL vs DEN 2022 · Week 13 · loose · similar season form & situation	-9	10–9	L	U40.5
Loose	CIN vs CAR 2022 · Week 9 · loose · similar situation & season form	-7	42–21	W	O42.5
Loose	LAC vs LAR 2022 · Week 17 · loose · similar team ratings & season form	-6.5	31–10	W	P41

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NYG LLWW	2-2	50%	1-1	2-1
SEA LLWL	1-3	25%	1-1	1-2

Venue/role: NYG away, as underdog; SEA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NYG UUUU	0-4	0%	1-3
SEA OOUO	3-1	75%	3-1

Went over in Q4. Of 69 earlier overs in games with totals 38.5–44.5, 23% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NYG	4-6 40%	7-3 70%	3-7 30%
SEA	6-4 60%	4-5-1 44%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

NYG 6–8 SEA SEA leads · 14 games since 2001 · NYG has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 2 2023	Seattle Seahawks 24 @ New York Giants 3	—	—

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NYG−2.2 →−2.7▼ 0.5#30

SEA−0.6 →+1.1▲ 1.7#11

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW4

NYG

Longer bar = better

SEA

#26

Offense

SEA better ▶

#11

#18

Defense

SEA better ▶

−0.5 #27

Turnovers

Even

−0.8 #28

63 plays #10

Pace

SEA faster ▶

66 plays #3

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NYG has the ball

Advantage: SEA defense

	NYG off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	15.0 #30	21.3 #14	SEA
Yards / play	4.69 #26	4.71 #4	SEA
EPA / play	−0.08 #22	−0.08 #10	SEA
Success rate	38% #27	39% #9	SEA

When SEA has the ball

Advantage: SEA offense

	SEA off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	25.5 #10	21.0 #12	Even
Yards / play	5.86 #9	5.33 #16	SEA
EPA / play	+0.01 #15	+0.02 #21	SEA
Success rate	47% #9	45% #22	SEA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

NYG scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	4.8 #19	6.5 #15	11.3 #17	1.5 #31	2.3 #32	3.8 #32
SEA allowed	5.0 #19	7.5 #23	12.5 #19	3.5 #10	5.3 #18	8.8 #11

SEA scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	6.8 #7	5.8 #20	12.5 #14	5.8 #9	6.5 #13	12.3 #9
NYG allowed	6.0 #23	5.0 #10	11.0 #16	5.8 #21	4.3 #12	10.0 #16

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.