Cowboys @ Giants: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2024)

Thu, Sep 26, 2024, 8:15 PM EDTWeek 4 · at New York Giants · Division game

Weather at kickoff71°F4 mphDryWeather watch ›

Dallas Cowboys

1-2 · Power #22

▲ winner

Final

New York Giants

1-2 · Power #31

final

Closing spread

DAL -5.5

✓ NYG W

Total

44.5

▼ Under · 35 pts

Model before kickoff

DAL 27–21 NYG

✓ DAL (69%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenDAL -5

CloseDAL -5.5

Total44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenDAL -5

0.5 → DAL

CloseDAL -5.5

0.5 pts toward Dallas Cowboys

Total

Open44.5

no move

Close44.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened DAL -5 · closed DAL -5.5 · moved 0.5 toward DALmodel DAL -4

model DAL -4

Openline modelKickoff

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenDAL -5

CloseDAL -5.5

Total44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like DAL as a 5.5-point road favorite at NYG, the favorite won 8, covered 8, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: DAL won 20–15; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 2 of the 10 similar games. 35 points stayed under 44.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 61%

Favorite covered

8 of 1080%

Above normal · usually 43%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 46%

Covers above normal. Splits like this often fade, so treat it as context, not a pick. Average result: favorite by 7.4 against an average line of 4.6; 40 points a game (usually 45.1). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	KC @ ATL 2024 · Week 3 · loose · similar total & situation	-3.5	22–17	W	U46.5
Loose	NYJ @ TEN 2024 · Week 2 · loose · similar situation	-3.5	24–17	W	U42.5
Loose	LAC @ HOU 2022 · Week 4 · loose · similar situation	-5.5	34–24	W	O46
Loose	GB @ CHI 2022 · Week 13 · loose · similar season form	-4	28–19	W	O45.5
Loose	LAC @ IND 2022 · Week 16 · loose · similar season form	-4.5	20–3	W	U44.5
Loose	LV @ LAR 2022 · Week 14 · loose · similar rest & season form	-6	16–17	L	U42
Loose	CIN @ NYJ 2022 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation & season form	-4.5	27–12	W	U45.5
Loose	GB @ WSH 2022 · Week 7 · loose · similar season form	-5.5	21–23	L	O41.5
Loose	GB @ CHI 2021 · Week 6 · loose · similar situation & season form	-6	24–14	W	U44
Loose	TEN @ WSH 2022 · Week 5 · loose · similar season form & situation	-3	21–17	W	U43

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
DAL WLL	1-2	33%	1-0	0-1
NYG LLW	1-2	33%	0-1	1-1

Venue/role: DAL away, as favorite; NYG home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
DAL OOO	3-0	100%	1-2
NYG UUU	0-3	0%	1-2

Stayed under: it needed 16 in the 4th quarter and got 6. 46% of games with totals 41.5–47.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
DAL	5-5 50%	3-7 30%	6-4 60%
NYG	5-5 50%	7-3 70%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

DAL 32–24 NYG DAL leads · 56 games since 1999 · NYG has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 12 2023	New York Giants 17 @ Dallas Cowboys 49	DAL -17.5	DAL W
Sep 10 2023	Dallas Cowboys 40 @ New York Giants 0	—	—

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

DAL+2.5 →+1.3▼ 1.2#11

NYG−2.2 →−2.7▼ 0.5#27

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

DAL

Longer bar = better

NYG

#19

Offense

◀ DAL better

#24

#27

Defense

NYG better ▶

#16

0.0 #20

Turnovers

Even

−0.3 #23

65 plays #9

Pace

Even

63 plays #12

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When DAL has the ball

Even matchup

	DAL off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	25.7 #6	21.3 #19	DAL
Yards / play	5.26 #17	5.21 #15	Even
EPA / play	−0.09 #22	−0.03 #13	NYG
Success rate	37% #29	43% #18	NYG

When NYG has the ball

Even matchup

	NYG off	DAL def	Edge
Points / game	15.0 #29	29.7 #30	Even
Yards / play	4.70 #25	6.01 #28	Even
EPA / play	−0.09 #20	+0.15 #29	NYG
Success rate	39% #23	43% #20	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

DAL scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DAL scored	4.3 #16	9.7 #3	14.0 #6	4.3 #18	7.3 #6	11.7 #13
NYG allowed	5.7 #22	4.3 #7	10.0 #15	6.7 #26	4.7 #17	11.3 #20

NYG scoring against the DAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	5.3 #12	6.7 #10	12.0 #11	1.0 #30	2.0 #28	3.0 #32
DAL allowed	10.3 #31	9.3 #28	19.7 #32	6.7 #26	3.3 #7	10.0 #16

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.