Jets vs Vikings: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 5, 2024)

Sun, Oct 6, 2024, 9:30 AM EDTWeek 5 · Neutral site

Weather at kickoff58°F11 mphgusts 20DryWeather watch ›

New York Jets

2-2 · Power #23

final

Final

Minnesota Vikings

4-0 · Power #8

▲ winner

Closing spread

MIN -2.5

✓ MIN W

Total

42.5

▼ Under · 40 pts

Model before kickoff

NYJ 20–22 MIN

✓ MIN (58%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenMIN -2.5

CloseMIN -2.5

Total41.5 → 42.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
NYJ LWWL	2-2	50%	—	0-1
MIN WWWW	4-0	100%	—	—

Venue/role: NYJ neutral, as underdog; MIN neutral, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NYJ OUUU	1-3	25%	2-2
MIN UUUO	1-3	25%	4-0

Stayed under: it needed 16 in the 4th quarter and got 13. 49% of games with totals 39.5–45.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NYJ	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	4-6 40%
MIN	5-5 50%	4-4-2 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

NYJ 3–4 MIN MIN leads · 7 games since 2002 · MIN has won the last 4 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NYJ−1.2 →+0.6▲ 1.8#13

MIN−0.1 →+2.4▲ 2.5#6

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW4

NYJ

Longer bar = better

MIN

#20

Offense

MIN better ▶

Defense

Even

+0.3 #14

Turnovers

MIN better ▶

+0.8 #4

61 plays #16

Pace

◀ NYJ faster

57 plays #29

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NYJ has the ball

Advantage: MIN defense

	NYJ off	MIN def	Edge
Points / game	19.0 #22	14.8 #4	MIN
Yards / play	4.81 #25	5.14 #12	MIN
EPA / play	−0.01 #18	−0.19 #2	MIN
Success rate	43% #16	38% #4	MIN

When MIN has the ball

Even matchup

	MIN off	NYJ def	Edge
Points / game	29.0 #4	15.5 #5	Even
Yards / play	5.95 #8	4.38 #2	NYJ
EPA / play	+0.06 #8	−0.14 #7	Even
Success rate	49% #5	37% #3	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

NYJ scoring against the MIN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYJ scored	3.5 #23	5.0 #22	8.5 #22	5.8 #11	4.8 #22	10.5 #17
MIN allowed	0.8 #1	3.5 #4	4.3 #1	2.5 #4	8.0 #28	10.5 #19

MIN scoring against the NYJ defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MIN scored	9.5 #2	7.8 #11	17.3 #3	7.0 #5	4.8 #22	11.8 #12
NYJ allowed	2.5 #3	4.8 #9	7.3 #5	6.0 #24	2.3 #2	8.3 #7

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.