Ravens vs Cowboys: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2026)

Sun, Sep 27, 2026, 4:25 PM EDTWeek 3 · Neutral site

Weather at kickoff73°F5 mphgusts 16Wet0.0 mmWet Over 51% of 104 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Baltimore Ravens

1-1 · Power #10

▲ winner

Final

Dallas Cowboys

1-1 · Power #20

final

Closing spread

BAL -3

Push

Total

54.5

▲ Over · 65 pts

Model before kickoff

BAL 27–24 DAL

✓ BAL (61%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenBAL -2.5

CloseBAL -3

Total52.5 → 54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenBAL -2.5

0.5 → BAL

CloseBAL -3

0.5 pts toward Baltimore Ravens

Total

Open52.5

▲ 2

Close54.5

Up 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened BAL -2.5 · closed BAL -3 · moved 0.5 toward BALmodel BAL -3 matches the line

model BAL -3 = line ✓

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Moved onto 3Too few earlier games to rateⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenBAL -2.5

CloseBAL -3

Total52.5 → 54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 1 games most like BAL as a 3-point neutral-site favorite against DAL, the favorite won 1, covered 1, and 1 went over the total.

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This game: BAL won 34–31; the favorite pushed, as in 0 of the 1 similar games. 65 points went over 54.5, as in 1 of 1.

Favorite won

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 63%

Favorite covered

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 47%

Only 1 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 6 against an average line of 5.5; 56 points a game (usually 44.6). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 1 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	IND vs ATL 2025 · Week 10 · loose · similar rest	-5.5	31–25	W	O48.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
BAL WL	1-1	50%	—	1-1
DAL LW	1-1	50%	—	—

Venue/role: BAL neutral, as favorite; DAL neutral, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
BAL OU	1-1	50%	1-1
DAL OO	2-0	100%	1-1

Went over in Q4. Of 20 earlier overs in games with totals 51.5–57.5, 40% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BAL	5-5 50%	3-7 30%	6-4 60%
DAL	5-5 50%	3-6 33%	9-1 90%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

BAL 7–1 DAL BAL leads · 8 games since 2000 · BAL has won the last 3 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 22 2024	Baltimore Ravens 28 @ Dallas Cowboys 25	BAL -1.5	BAL W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

BAL+0.7 →+2.1▲ 1.4#7

DAL−0.6 →−0.9▼ 0.3#19

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

BAL

Longer bar = better

DAL

Offense

Even

#14

Defense

◀ BAL better

#27

0.0 #17

Turnovers

Even

+0.5 #16

60 plays #16

Pace

◀ BAL faster

53 plays #30

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When BAL has the ball

Advantage: BAL offense

	BAL off	DAL def	Edge
Points / game	29.0 #7	24.0 #21	BAL
Yards / play	6.82 #2	5.80 #24	BAL
EPA / play	+0.22 #4	+0.22 #30	BAL
Success rate	57% #2	55% #32	BAL

When DAL has the ball

Advantage: DAL offense

	DAL off	BAL def	Edge
Points / game	28.5 #8	23.5 #18	DAL
Yards / play	5.43 #10	4.69 #5	BAL
EPA / play	+0.22 #3	−0.03 #13	DAL
Success rate	51% #4	44% #18	DAL

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 24 teams

BAL scoring against the DAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BAL scored	10.5	12.0	22.5	1.5	5.0	6.5
DAL allowed	3.5	8.5	12.0	5.0	7.0	12.0

DAL scoring against the BAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DAL scored	5.0	7.0	12.0	8.5	8.0	16.5
BAL allowed	3.0	6.5	9.5	3.0	11.0	14.0

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.