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NFL · 2026

NFL Week 3 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 3: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
16 finalFavorites 5-9 ATS8 upsetsO/U 8-8Model Favorite 8-8Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS5-936% covered
Upsets8outright
Over / Under8-850% over
Model Favorite8-850% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up8 all 8 final
Over4 50%Under4 50%
Moved down8 all 8 final
Over4 50%Under4 50%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20262024–2026
Any move
6–6–250%
36–40–447%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
6–3–167%
27–24–253%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
5–271%
18–17–151%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
0–10%
4–736%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
1–325%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Sep 24

1
Final · Non-conf
Atlanta Falcons
0-2 · #18
35
Green Bay Packers
1-1 · #14
14
Spread
GB -4.5
✓ ATL W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼3
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
20–24
✗ GB lost
Trend: ATL ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: GB by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Sep 27

14
Final · Non-conf
Los Angeles Chargers
0-2 · #25
16
Buffalo Bills
2-0 · #9
24
Spread
BUF -7
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲2
▼ Under 40
Projected
19–26
✓ BUF won
Model: BUF by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Carolina Panthers
1-1 · #13
18
Cleveland Browns
1-1 · #30
21
Spread
CAR -2.5
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
41.5 ▲2
▼ Under 39
Projected
22–20
✗ CAR lost
Trend: CAR ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: CLE by 0 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
New York Jets
1-1 · #27
24
Detroit Lions
1-1 · #12
31
Spread
DET -7
Push
Total
49.5 ▲5
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
20–27
✓ DET won
Trend: NYJ ATSTrend: Over ✓ Model: DET by 0 Model: Under 1.5 ✗
Final · Division
Houston Texans
0-2 · #11
17
Indianapolis Colts
0-2 · #21
19
Spread
HOU -1.5
✓ IND W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼3
▼ Under 36
Projected
25–23
✗ HOU lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: IND by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Kansas City Chiefs
2-0 · #2
24
Miami Dolphins
0-2 · #31
10
Spread
KC -10
✓ KC W ATS
Total
45.5 ▲1
▼ Under 34
Projected
27–18
✓ KC won
Trend: KC ATS ✓ Model: MIA by 6.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Tennessee Titans
0-2 · #32
7
New York Giants
1-1 · #22
12
Spread
NYG -2.5
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
37.5 ▼8
▼ Under 19
Projected
19–22
✓ NYG won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: NYG by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Cincinnati Bengals
2-0 · #15
27
Pittsburgh Steelers
1-1 · #17
30
Spread
CIN -3.5
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼5
▲ Over 57 · Q3
Projected
23–20
✗ CIN lost
Trend: CIN ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: PIT by 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Seattle Seahawks
2-0 · #1
31
Washington Commanders
0-2 · #26
33
Spread
SEA -8.5
✓ WSH W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼6
▲ Over 64 · Q3
Projected
25–16
✗ SEA lost
Trend: SEA ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: SEA by 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
New England Patriots
1-1 · #7
6
Jacksonville Jaguars
1-1 · #6
35
Spread
JAX -3
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲1
▼ Under 41
Projected
20–23
✓ JAX won
Trend: JAX ATS ✓ Model: NE by 3 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
Arizona Cardinals
1-1 · #28
30
San Francisco 49ers
2-0 · #3
36
Spread
SF -7.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲2
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
19–27
✓ SF won
Trend: ARI ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: SF by 2 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Minnesota Vikings
2-0 · #8
23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0-2 · #19
16
Spread
TB -1.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼1
▼ Under 39
Projected
21–22
✗ TB lost
Model: TB by 2 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Neutral
Baltimore Ravens
1-1 · #10
34
Dallas Cowboys
1-1 · #20
31
Spread
BAL -3
Push
Total
54.5 ▲2
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
27–24
✓ BAL won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: BAL by 0 Model: Under 4 ✗
Final · Non-conf
Las Vegas Raiders
2-0 · #23
35
New Orleans Saints
1-1 · #29
27
Spread
NO -3.5
✓ LV W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲2
▲ Over 62 · Q3
Projected
20–23
✗ NO lost
Trend: Over ✓ Model: LV by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Los Angeles Rams
1-1 · #5
26
Denver Broncos
1-1 · #16
30
Spread
DEN -1.5
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼1
▲ Over 56 · Q4
Projected
20–21
✓ DEN won
Trend: DEN ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: LAR by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Monday, Sep 28

1
Final · Non-conf
Philadelphia Eagles
2-0 · #24
7
Chicago Bears
1-1 · #4
27
Spread
PHI -3
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼4
▼ Under 34
Projected
23–20
✗ PHI lost
Trend: PHI ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: PHI by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total