FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 2: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS8-850% covered
Upsets5outright
Over / Under6-1038% over
Model Favorite11-569% won
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20262024–2026
Any move
5–838%
36–40–447%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
5–456%
27–24–253%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
2–250%
18–17–151%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
0–10%
4–736%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
1–325%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Sep 17

1
Final · Non-conf
1-0 · #12
31
1-0 · #9
41
Spread
BUF -5.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲2
▲ Over 72 · Q4
Projected
23–29
✓ BUF won
Trend: BUF ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: DET by 2 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Sep 20

14
Final · Division
0-1 · #13
34
0-1 · #18
3
Spread
CAR -2.5
✓ CAR W ATS
Total
43.5
▼ Under 37
Projected
24–22
✓ CAR won
Trend: CAR ATS ✓ Model: ATL by 6 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
1-0 · #8
9
1-0 · #4
3
Spread
CHI -4.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲1
▼ Under 12
Projected
21–26
✗ CHI lost
Trend: CHI ATS ✗ Model: CHI by 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
1-0 · #24
24
0-1 · #32
20
Spread
PHI -7
✓ TEN W ATS
Total
39.5 ▼3
▲ Over 44 · Q4
Projected
25–18
✓ PHI won
Trend: PHI ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: PHI by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
1-0 · #17
3
20
Spread
NE -4.5
✓ NE W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼2
▼ Under 23
Projected
19–24
✓ NE won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: NE by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
0-1 · #14
20
1-0 · #27
17
Spread
GB -3.5
✓ NYJ W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲2
▼ Under 37
Projected
24–21
✓ GB won
Trend: NYJ ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: GB by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
0-1 · #30
23
19
Spread
TB -8.5
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼1
▲ Over 42 · Q4
Projected
17–26
✗ TB lost
Trend: TB ATS ✗ Model: CLE by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
0-1 · #29
24
1-0 · #10
17
Spread
BAL -8.5
✓ NO W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▼ Under 41
Projected
19–28
✗ BAL lost
Trend: BAL ATS ✗ Model: NO by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
1-0 · #15
20
0-1 · #11
6
Spread
HOU -3
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▼ Under 26
Projected
22–25
✗ HOU lost
Model: CIN by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
13
0-1 · #16
20
Spread
DEN -2.5
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
45.5 ▲1
▼ Under 33
Projected
21–23
✓ DEN won
Model: JAX by 5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
1-0 · #23
26
14
Spread
LAC -6.5
✓ LV W ATS
Total
43.5 ▲1
▼ Under 40
Projected
18–24
✗ LAC lost
Trend: LV ATS ✓ Model: LV by 2 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
20
0-1 · #20
37
Spread
DAL -4.5
✓ DAL W ATS
Total
51.5
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
23–27
✓ DAL won
Model: WSH by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
1-0 · #1
31
1-0 · #28
7
Spread
SEA -3.5
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼4
▼ Under 38
Projected
24–21
✓ SEA won
Trend: ARI ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: ARI by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
0-1 · #31
13
35
Spread
SF -12.5
✓ SF W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼2
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
16–28
✓ SF won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: MIA by 4.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
0-1 · #21
30
1-0 · #2
33
Spread
KC -6
✓ IND W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼1
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
20–26
✓ KC won
Model: IND by 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Sep 21

1
Final · Non-conf
1-0 · #22
6
0-1 · #5
28
Spread
LAR -7
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
47.5
▼ Under 34
Projected
19–26
✓ LAR won
Trend: NYG ATS ✗ Model: NYG by 4 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total