Bengals @ Texans: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2026)

Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Houston Texans

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Cincinnati Bengals

1-0 · Power #15

▲ winner

Final

Houston Texans

0-1 · Power #11

final

Closing spread

HOU -3

✓ CIN W

Total

45.5

▼ Under · 26 pts

Model before kickoff

CIN 22–25 HOU

✗ HOU (60%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenHOU -2.5

CloseHOU -3

Total46.5 → 45.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenHOU -2.5

0.5 → HOU

CloseHOU -3

0.5 pts toward Houston Texans

Total

Open46.5

▼ 1

Close45.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened HOU -2.5 · closed HOU -3 · moved 0.5 toward HOUmodel HOU -2

model HOU -2

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 2–4 since 2023: won 65%, covered 54% (188 games)ⓘ

Moved onto 3Too few earlier games to rateⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenHOU -2.5

CloseHOU -3

Total46.5 → 45.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like HOU as a 3-point home favorite against CIN, the favorite won 5, covered 4, and 6 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: CIN won 20–6 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 26 points stayed under 45.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 63%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 2.8 against an average line of 2.9; 49.6 points a game (usually 44.8). Of the 6 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	BAL vs NE 2025 · Week 16 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	24–28	L	O47.5
Very close	HOU vs TB 2025 · Week 2 · very close · similar situation & spread	-2.5	19–20	L	U42.5
Close	ARI vs CHI 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & situation	-1.5	29–9	W	U44.5
Close	JAX vs IND 2024 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	37–34	L	O44.5
Close	ATL vs TB 2024 · Week 5 · close · similar spread & season form	-2.5	36–30	W	O43.5
Close	LAC vs IND 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	24–38	L	O48.5
Close	LAC vs MIN 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & season form	-3.5	37–10	W	O44.5
Close	MIN vs CHI 2025 · Week 11 · close · similar spread & rest	-3	17–19	L	U47.5
Close	ARI vs SEA 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar total & rest	-3.5	18–30	L	O45.5
Close	IND vs CHI 2024 · Week 3 · close · similar situation & rest	-2.5	21–16	W	U43.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CIN W	1-0	100%	—	—
HOU L	0-1	0%	0-1	—

Venue/role: CIN away, as underdog; HOU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CIN O	1-0	100%	1-0
HOU O	1-0	100%	0-1

Stayed under: it needed 23 in the 4th quarter and got 3. 51% of games with totals 42.5–48.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CIN	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%
HOU	8-2 80%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

CIN 6–9 HOU HOU leads · 15 games since 2002 · CIN has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 12 2023	Houston Texans 30 @ Cincinnati Bengals 27	CIN -5.5	HOU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CIN−1.2 →−0.5▲ 0.7#19

HOU+2.4 →+1.7▼ 0.7#9

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

CIN

Longer bar = better

HOU

#12

Offense

Even

#14

#16

Defense

◀ CIN better

#24

+3.0 #1

Turnovers

◀ CIN better

−2.0 #29

63 plays #15

Pace

HOU faster ▶

73 plays #2

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CIN has the ball

Advantage: CIN offense

	CIN off	HOU def	Edge
Points / game	33.0 #7	36.0 #28	CIN
Yards / play	5.57 #13	7.87 #30	CIN
EPA / play	0.00 #17	+0.23 #28	CIN
Success rate	47% #11	40% #9	Even

When HOU has the ball

Even matchup

	HOU off	CIN def	Edge
Points / game	31.0 #10	27.0 #18	HOU
Yards / play	5.22 #20	5.42 #15	CIN
EPA / play	+0.07 #14	−0.19 #8	CIN
Success rate	47% #13	47% #22	HOU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.