Eagles @ Titans: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2026)

Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Tennessee Titans

Weather at kickoff88°F4 mphgusts 9DryWeather watch ›

Philadelphia Eagles

1-0 · Power #24

▲ winner

Final

Tennessee Titans

0-1 · Power #32

final

Closing spread

PHI -7

✓ TEN W

Total

39.5

▲ Over · 44 pts

Model before kickoff

PHI 25–18 TEN

✓ PHI (74%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenPHI -4.5

ClosePHI -7

Total42.5 → 39.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenPHI -4.5

2.5 → PHI

ClosePHI -7

2.5 pts toward Philadelphia Eagles

Total

Open42.5

▼ 3

Close39.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened PHI -4.5 · closed PHI -7 · moved 2.5 toward PHImodel PHI -7.5

model PHI -7.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 6–8 since 2023: won 72%, covered 43% (50 games)ⓘ

Moved onto 7Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 49% (70 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenPHI -4.5

ClosePHI -7

Total42.5 → 39.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like PHI as a 7-point road favorite at TEN, the favorite won 7, covered 4, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: PHI won 24–20; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 44 points went over 39.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 71%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 56%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 4.5 against an average line of 7.1; 43.7 points a game (usually 46.4). Of the 7 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	ATL @ CAR 2024 · Week 6 · close · similar spread & season form	-6.5	38–20	W	O45.5
Close	CIN @ CLE 2024 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & situation	-5.5	21–14	W	U42.5
Close	PHI @ NYG 2025 · Week 6 · close · similar team ratings & situation	-7.5	17–34	L	O41.5
Close	NYJ @ NE 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & situation	-7.5	22–25	L	O41.5
Close	PHI @ WSH 2025 · Week 16 · close · similar rest & spread	-7	29–18	W	O43.5
Close	NO @ CAR 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & situation	-7.5	22–23	L	O43.5
Close	MIN @ JAX 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & spread	-7.5	12–7	L	U42.5
Close	DEN @ LV 2025 · Week 14 · close · similar rest	-8.5	24–17	L	O40.5
Close	WSH @ DAL 2024 · Week 18 · close · similar rest	-7.5	23–19	L	U43.5
Loose	LAR @ TEN 2025 · Week 2 · loose · similar rest & situation	-5.5	33–19	W	O40.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PHI L	0-1	0%	—	0-1
TEN L	0-1	0%	0-1	—

Venue/role: PHI away, as favorite; TEN home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
PHI O	1-0	100%	1-0
TEN U	0-1	0%	0-1

Went over in Q4. Of 148 earlier overs in games with totals 36.5–42.5, 28% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PHI	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	3-7 30%
TEN	2-8 20%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

PHI 3–5 TEN TEN leads · 8 games since 2000 · PHI has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

PHI+1.1 →+0.9▼ 0.2#12

TEN−3.1 →−4.6▼ 1.5#32

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

PHI

Longer bar = better

TEN

#17

Offense

◀ PHI better

#24

#13

Defense

◀ PHI better

#22

0.0 #16

Turnovers

◀ PHI better

−1.0 #22

53 plays #24

Pace

◀ PHI faster

49 plays #30

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When PHI has the ball

Even matchup

	PHI off	TEN def	Edge
Points / game	24.0 #17	23.0 #14	Even
Yards / play	6.00 #7	5.83 #21	PHI
EPA / play	+0.07 #13	+0.17 #23	PHI
Success rate	35% #30	50% #28	Even

When TEN has the ball

Advantage: PHI defense

	TEN off	PHI def	Edge
Points / game	10.0 #29	22.0 #13	PHI
Yards / play	3.98 #30	4.40 #8	PHI
EPA / play	−0.12 #22	+0.06 #17	PHI
Success rate	45% #16	43% #15	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.