Rams @ Titans: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2025)

Sun, Sep 14, 2025, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Tennessee Titans

Weather at kickoff88°F1 mphgusts 10DryWeather watch ›

Los Angeles Rams

1-0 · Power #2

▲ winner

Final

Tennessee Titans

0-1 · Power #31

final

Closing spread

LAR -5.5

✓ LAR W

Total

40.5

▲ Over · 52 pts

Model before kickoff

LAR 24–19 TEN

✓ LAR (69%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenLAR -5.5

CloseLAR -5.5

Total42.5 → 40.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenLAR -5.5

no move

CloseLAR -5.5

No change since the open

Total

Open42.5

▼ 2

Close40.5

Down 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened LAR -5.5 · unchangedmodel LAR -4

model LAR -4

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 4.5–6.5 since 2023: won 73%, covered 53% (45 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenLAR -5.5

CloseLAR -5.5

Total42.5 → 40.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like LAR as a 5.5-point road favorite at TEN, the favorite won 10, covered 10, and 8 went over the total.

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This game: LAR won 33–19; the favorite covered, as in 10 of the 10 similar games. 52 points went over 40.5, as in 8 of 10.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Above normal · usually 69%

Favorite covered

10 of 10100%

Above normal · usually 50%

Went over

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 49%

Wins above normal, covers above normal. Splits like this often fade, so treat it as context, not a pick. Average result: favorite by 14.8 against an average line of 5.4; 47 points a game (usually 45). Of the 8 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	LAC @ NE 2024 · Week 17 · very close · similar season form & spread	-5.5	40–7	W	O41.5
Very close	CIN @ CLE 2024 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & spread	-5.5	21–14	W	U42.5
Close	MIN @ TEN 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & spread	-5.5	23–13	W	U40.5
Close	LAR @ NE 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & spread	-4.5	28–22	W	O42.5
Close	LAC @ LV 2024 · Week 18 · close · similar rest & season form	-6.5	34–20	W	O41.5
Close	DEN @ LV 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-5.5	29–19	W	O41.5
Close	HOU @ DAL 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & total	-7.5	34–10	W	O41.5
Close	PIT @ LV 2024 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-3.5	32–13	W	O36.5
Close	WSH @ NYG 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & situation	-3.5	27–22	W	O42.5
Close	HOU @ NE 2024 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & situation	-6.5	41–21	W	O39.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LAR W	1-0	100%	—	1-0
TEN W	1-0	100%	—	1-0

Venue/role: LAR away, as favorite; TEN home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LAR U	0-1	0%	1-0
TEN U	0-1	0%	0-1

Went over in Q4. Of 116 earlier overs in games with totals 37.5–43.5, 24% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LAR	7-3 70%	8-2 80%	4-6 40%
TEN	1-9 10%	2-8 20%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

LAR 4–4 TEN Series tied · 8 games since 1999 · LAR has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LAR+0.2 →+0.6▲ 0.4#14

TEN−1.8 →−2.4▼ 0.6#29

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

LAR

Longer bar = better

TEN

#18

Offense

◀ LAR better

#31

Defense

Even

+1.0 #7

Turnovers

Even

+2.0 #4

57 plays #22

Pace

Even

55 plays #25

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LAR has the ball

Advantage: TEN defense

	LAR off	TEN def	Edge
Points / game	14.0 #23	20.0 #16	TEN
Yards / play	5.19 #12	4.46 #5	TEN
EPA / play	−0.04 #18	−0.15 #6	TEN
Success rate	42% #19	39% #6	TEN

When TEN has the ball

Advantage: LAR defense

	TEN off	LAR def	Edge
Points / game	12.0 #28	9.0 #2	LAR
Yards / play	2.42 #32	4.65 #12	LAR
EPA / play	−0.41 #32	−0.13 #7	LAR
Success rate	24% #32	37% #4	LAR

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.