FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 2: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS9-756% covered
Upsets5outright
Over / Under10-663% over
Model Favorite11-569% won
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
2–625%
94–9849%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
0–20%
43–4350%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
0–10%
21–2744%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
0–10%
7–750%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
1–325%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Sep 11

1
Final · Non-conf
18
1-0 · #11
27
Spread
GB -3.5
✓ GB W ATS
Total
47.5
▼ Under 45
Projected
22–25
✓ GB won
Model: WSH by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Sep 14

13
Final · Non-conf
27
1-0 · #24
31
Spread
CIN -3.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲1
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
22–26
✓ CIN won
Model: CIN by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
0-1 · #22
37
0-1 · #21
40
Spread
DAL -4.5
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼1
▲ Over 77 · Q4
Projected
20–25
✓ DAL won
Trend: DAL ATS ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
0-1 · #16
21
0-1 · #6
52
Spread
DET -6.5
✓ DET W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼2
▲ Over 73 · Q3
Projected
20–27
✓ DET won
Trend: DET ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: DET by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
1-0 · #2
33
0-1 · #31
19
Spread
LAR -5.5
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼2
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
24–19
✓ LAR won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: TEN by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
33
0-1 · #28
27
Spread
MIA -2.5
✓ NE W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼2
▲ Over 60 · Q3
Projected
21–24
✗ MIA lost
Trend: MIA ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: MIA by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
1-0 · #10
26
0-1 · #23
21
Spread
SF -2.5
✓ SF W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼3
▲ Over 47 · Q4
Projected
23–20
✓ SF won
Trend: NO ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: NO by 2 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
1-0 · #4
30
0-1 · #32
10
Spread
BUF -5.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲1
▼ Under 40
Projected
28–22
✓ BUF won
Trend: NYJ ATS ✗ Model: NYJ by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
0-1 · #1
31
1-0 · #19
17
Spread
PIT -3.5
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
40.5
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
21–24
✗ PIT lost
Model: SEA by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Division
0-1 · #29
17
0-1 · #14
41
Spread
BAL -12.5
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲1
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
18–30
✓ BAL won
Model: CLE by 2 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
1-0 · #8
28
1-0 · #13
29
Spread
DEN -1.5
✓ IND W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼1
▲ Over 57 · Q3
Projected
24–22
✗ DEN lost
Trend: IND ATS ✓ Model: IND by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
0-1 · #26
22
1-0 · #25
27
Spread
ARI -6.5
✓ CAR W ATS
Total
45.5
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
20–26
✓ ARI won
Trend: CAR ATS ✓ Model: ARI by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
20
0-1 · #12
17
Spread
PHI -1.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲1
▼ Under 37
Projected
23–21
✓ PHI won
Model: KC by 1 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
0-1 · #20
22
1-0 · #17
6
Spread
MIN -3.5
✓ ATL W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼1
▼ Under 28
Projected
22–25
✗ MIN lost
Model: ATL by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Sep 15

2
Final · Non-conf
20
0-1 · #3
19
Spread
HOU -2.5
✓ TB W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼3
▼ Under 39
Projected
22–24
✗ HOU lost
Trend: HOU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: TB by 4 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
20
1-0 · #30
9
Spread
LAC -3.5
✓ LAC W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲2
▼ Under 29
Projected
24–21
✓ LAC won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: LV by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total