1. Home
  2. NFL
  3. 2025 Week 15
NFL · 2025

NFL Week 15 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 15: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
16 finalFavorites 9-7 ATS6 upsetsO/U 9-7Model Favorite 10-6Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS9-756% covered
Upsets6outright
Over / Under9-756% over
Model Favorite10-663% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up3 all 3 final
Over2 67%Under1 33%
Moved down7 all 7 final
Over3 43%Under4 57%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
6–460%
94–9849%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
3–260%
43–4350%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
2–250%
21–2744%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
0–10%
7–750%
17–1652%
7+ pts
0–10%
1–325%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
Sort by
⌨ Shortcuts

Group the list

Sort by
No games match these filters
Loosen a filter, or start over.

Jump to

Thursday, Dec 11

1
Final · Division
Atlanta Falcons
4-9 · #20
29
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7-6 · #18
28
Spread
TB -6
✓ ATL W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼1
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
20–26
✗ TB lost
Trend: ATL ATS ✓ Model: ATL by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4

Sunday, Dec 14

14
Final · Non-conf
Cleveland Browns
3-10 · #29
3
Chicago Bears
9-4 · #16
31
Spread
CHI -7.5
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
38.5 ▼2
▼ Under 34
Projected
17–24
✓ CHI won
Trend: CHI ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: CLE by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Baltimore Ravens
6-7 · #14
24
Cincinnati Bengals
4-9 · #24
0
Spread
BAL -2.5
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 24
Projected
28–25
✓ BAL won
Model: BAL by 3 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
Los Angeles Chargers
9-4 · #15
16
Kansas City Chiefs
6-7 · #12
13
Spread
KC -5.5
✓ LAC W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼3
▼ Under 29
Projected
19–24
✗ KC lost
Trend: KC ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: LAC by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Buffalo Bills
9-4 · #4
35
New England Patriots
11-2 · #5
31
Spread
BUF -2.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲1
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
25–22
✓ BUF won
Model: NE by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
Washington Commanders
3-10 · #27
29
New York Giants
2-11 · #22
21
Spread
NYG -3
✓ WSH W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼2
▲ Over 50 · Q4
Projected
23–25
✗ NYG lost
Trend: NYG ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: WSH by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Las Vegas Raiders
2-11 · #30
0
Philadelphia Eagles
8-5 · #9
31
Spread
PHI -12.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
36.5 ▼4
▼ Under 31
Projected
11–23
✓ PHI won
Trend: Under ✓Trend: LV ATS ✗ Model: PHI by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
New York Jets
3-10 · #32
20
Jacksonville Jaguars
9-4 · #7
48
Spread
JAX -13.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼3
▲ Over 68 · Q2
Projected
13–27
✓ JAX won
Trend: JAX ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: NYJ by 2 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Arizona Cardinals
3-10 · #25
20
Houston Texans
8-5 · #3
40
Spread
HOU -10.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
42.5
▲ Over 60 · Q3
Projected
16–26
✓ HOU won
Model: ARI by 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Green Bay Packers
9-3-1 · #11
26
Denver Broncos
11-2 · #8
34
Spread
GB -1.5
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
42.5
▲ Over 60 · Q3
Projected
22–20
✗ GB lost
Trend: DEN ATS ✓ Model: DEN by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Detroit Lions
8-5 · #6
34
Los Angeles Rams
10-3 · #2
41
Spread
LAR -5.5
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲4
▲ Over 75 · Q3
Projected
23–28
✓ LAR won
Trend: LAR ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: DET by 5 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Division
Carolina Panthers
7-6 · #26
17
New Orleans Saints
3-10 · #23
20
Spread
CAR -2.5
✓ NO W ATS
Total
41.5 ▲2
▼ Under 37
Projected
22–19
✗ CAR lost
Trend: CAR ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: NO by 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Tennessee Titans
2-11 · #31
24
San Francisco 49ers
9-4 · #10
37
Spread
SF -12.5
✓ SF W ATS
Total
44.5
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
16–28
✓ SF won
Trend: SF ATS ✓ Model: SF by 1 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Indianapolis Colts
8-5 · #13
16
Seattle Seahawks
10-3 · #1
18
Spread
SEA -12.5
✓ IND W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼5
▼ Under 34
Projected
18–30
✓ SEA won
Trend: SEA ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: IND by 9 ✓ Model: Over 7 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Minnesota Vikings
5-8 · #17
34
Dallas Cowboys
6-6-1 · #21
26
Spread
DAL -5.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
47.5
▲ Over 60 · Q4
Projected
22–27
✗ DAL lost
Trend: MIN ATS ✓ Model: DAL by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Dec 15

1
Final · Non-conf
Miami Dolphins
6-7 · #28
15
Pittsburgh Steelers
7-6 · #19
28
Spread
PIT -3
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
43.5
▼ Under 43
Projected
21–24
✓ PIT won
Model: MIA by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Loading…
StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
Loading…
Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total