FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 7: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1515 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS9-660% covered
Upsets4outright
Over / Under9-660% over
Model Favorite11-473% won
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
5–363%
94–9849%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
2–250%
43–4350%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
2–167%
21–2744%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
1–150%
7–750%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
1–325%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Oct 16

1
Final · Division
4-1 · #19
31
2-4 · #24
33
Spread
PIT -5.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲2
▲ Over 64 · Q4
Projected
26–21
✗ PIT lost
Trend: PIT ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: CIN by 4 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q2

Sunday, Oct 19

12
Final · Neutral
4-2 · #2
35
7
Spread
LAR -3.5
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼2
▼ Under 42
Projected
24–20
✓ LAR won
Trend: LAR ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: LAR by 0 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
1-5 · #23
14
3-2 · #16
26
Spread
CHI -3.5
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼2
▼ Under 40
Projected
20–23
✓ CHI won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: CHI by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
1-5 · #28
6
1-5 · #29
31
Spread
CLE -2.5
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
35.5 ▼5
▲ Over 37 · Q4
Projected
18–20
✓ CLE won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: MIA by 3 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
31
1-5 · #31
13
Spread
NE -6.5
✓ NE W ATS
Total
41.5
▲ Over 44 · Q3
Projected
22–16
✓ NE won
Trend: NE ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: TEN by 0 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Division
2-4 · #30
0
3-3 · #12
31
Spread
KC -13.5
✓ KC W ATS
Total
45.5
▼ Under 31
Projected
15–28
✓ KC won
Trend: KC ATS ✓ Model: LV by 5 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
28
3-2 · #17
22
Spread
PHI -2.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲1
▲ Over 50 · Q4
Projected
24–21
✓ PHI won
Trend: PHI ATS ✓ Model: MIN by 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
3-3 · #26
13
0-6 · #32
6
Spread
NYJ -1.5
✓ CAR W ATS
Total
39.5 ▼5
▼ Under 19
Projected
21–22
✗ NYJ lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: NYJ by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
2-4 · #22
32
4-2 · #8
33
Spread
DEN -7.5
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼2
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
17–25
✓ DEN won
Trend: Under ✗Trend: NYG ATS ✓ Model: NYG by 0 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
5-1 · #13
38
24
Spread
LAC -2.5
✓ IND W ATS
Total
48.5
▲ Over 62 · Q3
Projected
23–25
✗ LAC lost
Model: IND by 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
22
2-3-1 · #21
44
Spread
DAL -2.5
✓ DAL W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲1
▲ Over 66 · Q3
Projected
26–28
✓ DAL won
Model: WSH by 4.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
3-1-1 · #11
27
2-4 · #25
23
Spread
GB -6.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲1
▲ Over 50 · Q4
Projected
26–19
✓ GB won
Trend: GB ATS ✗ Model: ARI by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
3-2 · #20
10
4-2 · #10
20
Spread
ATL -1.5
✓ SF W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲2
▼ Under 30
Projected
23–22
✗ ATL lost
Trend: ATL ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: SF by 1 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Oct 20

2
Final · Non-conf
9
4-2 · #6
24
Spread
DET -6.5
✓ DET W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲1
▼ Under 33
Projected
23–29
✓ DET won
Model: TB by 2 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
2-3 · #3
19
4-2 · #1
27
Spread
SEA -3.5
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼1
▲ Over 46 · Q4
Projected
19–23
✓ SEA won
Trend: SEA ATS ✓ Model: HOU by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total