Week in numbers
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Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
| Moved toward | This week | 2025 | 2024–2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Any move | 94–9849% | 229–252–448% | |
| 1.5+ pts | 43–4350% | 116–117–250% | |
| 3+ pts | 21–2744% | 56–58–149% | |
| 5+ pts | 7–750% | 17–1652% | |
| 7+ pts | — | 1–325% | 2–722% |
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Oct 16
1Final · Division
Spread
PIT -5.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲2
▲ Over 64 · Q4
Projected
26–21
✗ PIT lost
Sunday, Oct 19
12Final · Neutral
Spread
LAR -3.5
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼2
▼ Under 42
Projected
24–20
✓ LAR won
Final · Non-conf
Spread
CHI -3.5
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼2
▼ Under 40
Projected
20–23
✓ CHI won
Final · Non-conf
Spread
CLE -2.5
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
35.5 ▼5
▲ Over 37 · Q4
Projected
18–20
✓ CLE won
Final · Non-conf
Spread
NE -6.5
✓ NE W ATS
Total
41.5
▲ Over 44 · Q3
Projected
22–16
✓ NE won
Final · Division
Spread
KC -13.5
✓ KC W ATS
Total
45.5
▼ Under 31
Projected
15–28
✓ KC won
Final · Non-conf
Spread
PHI -2.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲1
▲ Over 50 · Q4
Projected
24–21
✓ PHI won
Final · Non-conf
Spread
NYJ -1.5
✓ CAR W ATS
Total
39.5 ▼5
▼ Under 19
Projected
21–22
✗ NYJ lost
Final · Non-conf
Spread
DEN -7.5
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼2
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
17–25
✓ DEN won
Final · Non-conf
Spread
LAC -2.5
✓ IND W ATS
Total
48.5
▲ Over 62 · Q3
Projected
23–25
✗ LAC lost
Final · Division
Spread
DAL -2.5
✓ DAL W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲1
▲ Over 66 · Q3
Projected
26–28
✓ DAL won
Final · Non-conf
Spread
GB -6.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲1
▲ Over 50 · Q4
Projected
26–19
✓ GB won
Final · Non-conf
Spread
ATL -1.5
✓ SF W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲2
▼ Under 30
Projected
23–22
✗ ATL lost
Monday, Oct 20
2Final · Non-conf
Spread
DET -6.5
✓ DET W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲1
▼ Under 33
Projected
23–29
✓ DET won
Final · Non-conf
Spread
SEA -3.5
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼1
▲ Over 46 · Q4
Projected
19–23
✓ SEA won
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| Status | Matchup | Spread | Move | Total | Model | Signal | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading… | |||||||
Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total