FinalCurrentUpcomingWild Card round: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games66 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS2-433% covered
Upsets3outright
Over / Under2-433% over
Model Favorite3-350% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
1–233%
94–9849%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
0–20%
43–4350%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
0–10%
21–2744%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
—
7–750%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
1–325%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Saturday, Jan 10

2
Final · NFC Wild Card Playoffs
12-5 · #2
34
8-9 · #26
31
Spread
LAR -10
✓ CAR W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼2
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
26–16
✓ LAR won
Trend: LAR ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: LAR by 1 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · NFC Wild Card Playoffs
9-7-1 · #11
27
11-6 · #16
31
Spread
GB -1.5
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
46.5
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
23–22
✗ GB lost
Trend: CHI ATS ✓ Model: CHI by 0 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Sunday, Jan 11

3
Final · AFC Wild Card Playoffs
12-5 · #4
27
24
Spread
JAX -1.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 51
Projected
23–24
✗ JAX lost
Trend: JAX ATS ✗ Model: BUF by 3 ✓ Model: Under 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · NFC Wild Card Playoffs
12-5 · #10
23
11-6 · #9
19
Spread
PHI -5.5
✓ SF W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼2
▼ Under 42
Projected
18–23
✗ PHI lost
Trend: Under ✓Trend: SF ATS ✓ Model: SF by 6 ✓ Model: Under 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · AFC Wild Card Playoffs
11-6 · #15
3
16
Spread
NE -3.5
✓ NE W ATS
Total
45.5
▼ Under 19
Projected
19–22
✓ NE won
Trend: LAC ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: Under 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q3

Monday, Jan 12

1
Final · AFC Wild Card Playoffs
12-5 · #3
30
10-7 · #19
6
Spread
HOU -3
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
38.5 ▼1
▼ Under 36
Projected
22–19
✓ HOU won
Model: HOU by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total