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NFL · 2025

NFL Week 14 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 14: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
14 finalFavorites 6-8 ATS6 upsetsO/U 11-3Model Favorite 8-6Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1414 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS6-843% covered
Upsets6outright
Over / Under11-379% over
Model Favorite8-657% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up4 all 4 final
Over3 75%Under1 25%
Moved down7 all 7 final
Over5 71%Under2 29%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
5–363%
94–9849%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
2–0100%
43–4350%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
—
21–2744%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
—
7–750%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
1–325%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Dec 4

1
Final · Non-conf
Dallas Cowboys
6-5-1 · #21
30
Detroit Lions
7-5 · #6
44
Spread
DET -3.5
✓ DET W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲1
▲ Over 74 · Q4
Projected
26–30
✓ DET won
Trend: DAL ATS ✗ Model: DET by 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Dec 7

12
Final · Non-conf
Seattle Seahawks
9-3 · #1
37
Atlanta Falcons
4-8 · #20
9
Spread
SEA -7
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
44.5
▲ Over 46 · Q4
Projected
26–19
✓ SEA won
Trend: SEA ATS ✓ Model: ATL by 1 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Cincinnati Bengals
4-8 · #24
34
Buffalo Bills
8-4 · #4
39
Spread
BUF -6
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲1
▲ Over 73 · Q4
Projected
23–29
✓ BUF won
Model: BUF by 7 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Tennessee Titans
1-11 · #31
31
Cleveland Browns
3-9 · #29
29
Spread
CLE -4.5
✓ TEN W ATS
Total
33.5 ▼1
▲ Over 60 · Q3
Projected
16–21
✗ CLE lost
Trend: CLE ATS ✗ Model: CLE by 1 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Washington Commanders
3-9 · #27
0
Minnesota Vikings
4-8 · #17
31
Spread
MIN -1.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
43.5 ▲1
▼ Under 31
Projected
23–24
✓ MIN won
Trend: MIN ATS ✓ Model: WSH by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Miami Dolphins
5-7 · #28
34
New York Jets
3-9 · #32
10
Spread
MIA -2.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
41.5
▲ Over 44 · Q4
Projected
23–20
✓ MIA won
Model: NYJ by 2 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
New Orleans Saints
2-10 · #23
24
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7-5 · #18
20
Spread
TB -7.5
✓ NO W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼1
▲ Over 44 · Q4
Projected
18–26
✗ TB lost
Model: TB by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Indianapolis Colts
8-4 · #13
19
Jacksonville Jaguars
8-4 · #7
36
Spread
IND -2.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼5
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
26–24
✗ IND lost
Trend: JAX ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: JAX by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Pittsburgh Steelers
6-6 · #19
27
Baltimore Ravens
6-6 · #14
22
Spread
BAL -5.5
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼2
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
21–27
✗ BAL lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: BAL by 1 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Denver Broncos
10-2 · #8
24
Las Vegas Raiders
2-10 · #30
17
Spread
DEN -8.5
✓ LV W ATS
Total
40.5
▲ Over 41 · Q4
Projected
24–16
✓ DEN won
Model: DEN by 0 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
Chicago Bears
9-3 · #16
21
Green Bay Packers
8-3-1 · #11
28
Spread
GB -6.5
✓ GB W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼2
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
20–26
✓ GB won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: GB by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
Los Angeles Rams
9-3 · #2
45
Arizona Cardinals
3-9 · #25
17
Spread
LAR -9.5
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲1
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
28–19
✓ LAR won
Trend: LAR ATS ✓ Model: ARI by 4 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Houston Texans
7-5 · #3
20
Kansas City Chiefs
6-6 · #12
10
Spread
KC -4.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼2
▼ Under 30
Projected
18–23
✗ KC lost
Trend: Under ✓Trend: HOU ATS ✓ Model: KC by 1 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Dec 8

1
Final · Non-conf
Philadelphia Eagles
8-4 · #9
19
Los Angeles Chargers
8-4 · #15
22
Spread
PHI -1.5
✓ LAC W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼1
▼ Under 41
Projected
22–21
✗ PHI lost
Trend: PHI ATS ✗ Model: LAC by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total