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NFL · 2025

NFL Week 12 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 12: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
14 finalFavorites 5-9 ATS4 upsetsO/U 4-10Model Favorite 10-4Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1414 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS5-936% covered
Upsets4outright
Over / Under4-1029% over
Model Favorite10-471% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up2 all 2 final
Over1 50%Under1 50%
Moved down7 all 7 final
Over2 29%Under5 71%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
4–833%
94–9849%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
1–325%
43–4350%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
0–20%
21–2744%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
—
7–750%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
1–325%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Nov 20

1
Final · Non-conf
Buffalo Bills
7-3 · #4
19
Houston Texans
5-5 · #3
23
Spread
BUF -4.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 42
Projected
25–21
✗ BUF lost
Trend: BUF ATS ✗ Model: HOU by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Nov 23

12
Final · Non-conf
Pittsburgh Steelers
6-4 · #19
28
Chicago Bears
7-3 · #16
31
Spread
CHI -2.5
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲2
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
22–25
✓ CHI won
Trend: CHI ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: PIT by 0 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
New England Patriots
9-2 · #5
26
Cincinnati Bengals
3-7 · #24
20
Spread
NE -7.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
50.5
▼ Under 46
Projected
29–22
✓ NE won
Trend: NE ATS ✗ Model: CIN by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
New York Giants
2-9 · #22
27
Detroit Lions
6-4 · #6
34
Spread
DET -14.5
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
50.5
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
16–31
✓ DET won
Trend: DET ATS ✗ Model: DET by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Minnesota Vikings
4-6 · #17
6
Green Bay Packers
6-3-1 · #11
23
Spread
GB -6.5
✓ GB W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼1
▼ Under 29
Projected
18–25
✓ GB won
Trend: MIN ATS ✗ Model: GB by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Seattle Seahawks
7-3 · #1
30
Tennessee Titans
1-9 · #31
24
Spread
SEA -11.5
✓ TEN W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼1
▲ Over 54 · Q3
Projected
28–16
✓ SEA won
Trend: SEA ATS ✗ Model: SEA by 1 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Indianapolis Colts
8-2 · #13
20
Kansas City Chiefs
5-5 · #12
23
Spread
KC -4.5
✓ IND W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼1
▼ Under 43
Projected
22–27
✓ KC won
Trend: KC ATS ✗ Model: IND by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
New York Jets
2-8 · #32
10
Baltimore Ravens
5-5 · #14
23
Spread
BAL -14.5
✓ NYJ W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 33
Projected
16–31
✓ BAL won
Model: NYJ by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Cleveland Browns
2-8 · #29
24
Las Vegas Raiders
2-8 · #30
10
Spread
LV -3.5
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
36.5 ▼1
▼ Under 34
Projected
16–19
✗ LV lost
Model: CLE by 1 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Jacksonville Jaguars
6-4 · #7
27
Arizona Cardinals
3-7 · #25
24
Spread
JAX -1.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼1
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
24–23
✓ JAX won
Trend: ARI ATS ✗ Model: ARI by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: OT
Final · Division
Philadelphia Eagles
8-2 · #9
21
Dallas Cowboys
4-5-1 · #21
24
Spread
PHI -2.5
✓ DAL W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼3
▼ Under 45
Projected
26–23
✗ PHI lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: PHI by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
Atlanta Falcons
3-7 · #20
24
New Orleans Saints
2-8 · #23
10
Spread
NO -1.5
✓ ATL W ATS
Total
40.5
▼ Under 34
Projected
21–22
✗ NO lost
Trend: ATL ATS ✓ Model: ATL by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
6-4 · #18
7
Los Angeles Rams
8-2 · #2
34
Spread
LAR -7.5
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲1
▼ Under 41
Projected
21–28
✓ LAR won
Trend: LAR ATS ✓ Model: TB by 5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Nov 24

1
Final · Non-conf
Carolina Panthers
6-5 · #26
9
San Francisco 49ers
7-4 · #10
20
Spread
SF -7
✓ SF W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼1
▼ Under 29
Projected
20–26
✓ SF won
Trend: CAR ATS ✗ Model: CAR by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total