1. Home
  2. NFL
  3. 2025 Week 1
NFL · 2025

NFL Week 1 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 1: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
16 finalFavorites 7-9 ATS5 upsetsO/U 4-12Model Favorite 11-5Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS7-944% covered
Upsets5outright
Over / Under4-1225% over
Model Favorite11-569% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up4 all 4 final
Over1 25%Under3 75%
Moved down4 all 4 final
Over0 0%Under4 100%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
2–722%
94–9849%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
1–420%
43–4350%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
0–40%
21–2744%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
—
7–750%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
1–325%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
Sort by
⌨ Shortcuts

Group the list

Sort by
No games match these filters
Loosen a filter, or start over.

Jump to

Thursday, Sep 4

1
Final · Division
Dallas Cowboys
0-0 · #21
20
Philadelphia Eagles
0-0 · #9
24
Spread
PHI -7.5
✓ DAL W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲4
▼ Under 44
Projected
20–27
✓ PHI won
Trend: PHI ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: PHI by 1 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Friday, Sep 5

1
Final · Neutral
Kansas City Chiefs
0-0 · #12
21
Los Angeles Chargers
0-0 · #15
27
Spread
KC -3.5
✓ LAC W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲2
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
24–20
✗ KC lost
Trend: Over ✓ Model: LAC by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Sep 7

13
Final · Division
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0-0 · #18
23
Atlanta Falcons
0-0 · #20
20
Spread
ATL -1.5
✓ TB W ATS
Total
47.5
▼ Under 43
Projected
24–25
✗ ATL lost
Trend: ATL ATS ✗ Model: TB by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
Cincinnati Bengals
0-0 · #24
17
Cleveland Browns
0-0 · #29
16
Spread
CIN -5.5
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲1
▼ Under 33
Projected
26–21
✓ CIN won
Model: CLE by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Miami Dolphins
0-0 · #28
8
Indianapolis Colts
0-0 · #13
33
Spread
IND -1.5
✓ IND W ATS
Total
47.5
▼ Under 41
Projected
23–24
✓ IND won
Model: MIA by 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Las Vegas Raiders
0-0 · #30
20
New England Patriots
0-0 · #5
13
Spread
NE -2.5
✓ LV W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼1
▼ Under 33
Projected
20–23
✗ NE lost
Trend: LV ATS ✓ Model: LV by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Arizona Cardinals
0-0 · #25
20
New Orleans Saints
0-0 · #23
13
Spread
ARI -5.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 33
Projected
26–21
✓ ARI won
Model: NO by 2 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Pittsburgh Steelers
0-0 · #19
34
New York Jets
0-0 · #32
32
Spread
PIT -2.5
✓ NYJ W ATS
Total
38.5
▲ Over 66 · Q3
Projected
23–21
✓ PIT won
Model: NYJ by 3 ✓ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
New York Giants
0-0 · #22
6
Washington Commanders
0-0 · #27
21
Spread
WSH -5.5
✓ WSH W ATS
Total
45.5
▼ Under 27
Projected
21–26
✓ WSH won
Trend: NYG ATS ✗ Model: WSH by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Carolina Panthers
0-0 · #26
10
Jacksonville Jaguars
0-0 · #7
26
Spread
JAX -4.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼2
▼ Under 36
Projected
22–26
✓ JAX won
Trend: JAX ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: CAR by 1 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Tennessee Titans
0-0 · #31
12
Denver Broncos
0-0 · #8
20
Spread
DEN -9.5
✓ TEN W ATS
Total
43.5 ▲2
▼ Under 32
Projected
18–27
✓ DEN won
Trend: DEN ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: TEN by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
San Francisco 49ers
0-0 · #10
17
Seattle Seahawks
0-0 · #1
13
Spread
SF -1.5
✓ SF W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 30
Projected
24–23
✓ SF won
Trend: SEA ATS ✗ Model: SEA by 1 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
Detroit Lions
0-0 · #6
13
Green Bay Packers
0-0 · #11
27
Spread
GB -1.5
✓ GB W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼1
▼ Under 40
Projected
24–25
✓ GB won
Model: DET by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Houston Texans
0-0 · #3
9
Los Angeles Rams
0-0 · #2
14
Spread
LAR -3.5
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼1
▼ Under 23
Projected
21–25
✓ LAR won
Trend: LAR ATS ✓ Model: HOU by 2 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Baltimore Ravens
0-0 · #14
40
Buffalo Bills
0-0 · #4
41
Spread
BAL -1.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
51.5
▲ Over 81 · Q3
Projected
25–24
✗ BAL lost
Trend: BAL ATS ✗ Model: BUF by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Monday, Sep 8

1
Final · Division
Minnesota Vikings
0-0 · #17
27
Chicago Bears
0-0 · #16
24
Spread
CHI -1.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
43.5
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
22–23
✗ CHI lost
Trend: CHI ATS ✗ Model: MIN by 3 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Loading…
StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
Loading…
Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total