Lions @ Packers: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2025)

Sun, Sep 7, 2025, 4:25 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Green Bay Packers · Division game

Weather at kickoff63°F7 mphgusts 17DryWeather watch ›

Detroit Lions

0-0 · Power #6

final

Final

Green Bay Packers

0-0 · Power #11

▲ winner

Closing spread

GB -1.5

✓ GB W

Total

48.5

▼ Under · 40 pts

Model before kickoff

DET 24–25 GB

✓ GB (55%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenGB -1.5

CloseGB -1.5

Total49.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenGB -1.5

no move

CloseGB -1.5

No change since the open

Total

Open49.5

▼ 1

Close48.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened GB -1.5 · unchangedmodel Pick’em

model Pick’em

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 0.5–2.5 since 2023: won 57%, covered 51% (77 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenGB -1.5

CloseGB -1.5

Total49.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like GB as a 1.5-point home favorite against DET, the favorite won 5, covered 4, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: GB won 27–13; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 40 points stayed under 48.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 59%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 43%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 3.1 against an average line of 2.5; 48.3 points a game (usually 42.7). Of the 6 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	MIN vs DET 2024 · Week 7 · very close · similar team ratings & spread	-1.5	29–31	L	O50.5
Very close	MIA vs BUF 2024 · Week 2 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-2.5	10–31	L	U49.5
Very close	KC vs BAL 2024 · Week 1 · very close · similar situation & team ratings	-2.5	27–20	W	O45.5
Very close	CIN vs PHI 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & situation	-2.5	17–37	L	O47.5
Very close	HOU vs MIA 2024 · Week 15 · very close · similar spread & total	-2.5	20–12	W	U46.5
Very close	LAC vs TB 2024 · Week 15 · very close · similar team ratings	-3	17–40	L	O45.5
Close	GB vs HOU 2024 · Week 7 · close · similar total & situation	-3.5	24–22	L	U47.5
Close	BAL vs BUF 2024 · Week 4 · close · similar team ratings & situation	-2.5	35–10	W	U47.5
Close	BUF vs KC 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar spread	-2.5	30–21	W	O47.5
Close	CLE vs DAL 2024 · Week 1 · close · similar spread & situation	-2	17–33	L	O42.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
DET	0-0	—	—	—
GB	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: DET away, as underdog; GB home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
DET	0-0	—	0-0
GB	0-0	—	0-0

Stayed under: it needed 26 in the 4th quarter and got 17. 49% of games with totals 45.5–51.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
DET	8-2 80%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
GB	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 4 since 2023

DET 18–36 GB GB leads · 54 games since 1999 · GB has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 5 2024	Green Bay Packers 31 @ Detroit Lions 34	DET -3.5	GB W
Nov 3 2024	Detroit Lions 24 @ Green Bay Packers 14	DET -2.5	DET W
Nov 23 2023	Green Bay Packers 29 @ Detroit Lions 22	DET -8.5	GB W
Sep 28 2023	Detroit Lions 34 @ Green Bay Packers 20	—	—