Chiefs vs Chargers: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2025)

Fri, Sep 5, 2025, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · Neutral site · Division game

Weather at kickoff62°F7 mphgusts 18DryWeather watch ›

Kansas City Chiefs

0-0 · Power #12

final

Final

Los Angeles Chargers

0-0 · Power #15

▲ winner

Closing spread

KC -3.5

✓ LAC W

Total

47.5

▲ Over · 48 pts

Model before kickoff

KC 24–20 LAC

✗ KC (62%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenKC -3.5

CloseKC -3.5

Total45.5 → 47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenKC -3.5

no move

CloseKC -3.5

No change since the open

Total

Open45.5

▲ 2

Close47.5

Up 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened KC -3.5 · unchangedmodel KC -2

model KC -2

Openline modelKickoff

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenKC -3.5

CloseKC -3.5

Total45.5 → 47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 5 games most like KC as a 3.5-point neutral-site favorite against LAC, the favorite won 3, covered 3, and 3 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: LAC won 27–21 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 2 of the 5 similar games. 48 points went over 47.5, as in 3 of 5.

Favorite won

3 of 560%

Normal range · usually 64%

Favorite covered

3 of 560%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

3 of 560%

Normal range · usually 45%

Only 5 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: underdog by 4.2 against an average line of 2; 50.6 points a game (usually 43.6). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 5 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	PHI vs GB 2024 · Week 1 · close · similar situation & team ratings	-1.5	34–29	W	O49.5
Close	MIN vs NYJ 2024 · Week 5 · close · similar team ratings & spread	-2.5	23–17	W	U42.5
Loose	TB vs SEA 2022 · Week 10 · loose · similar team ratings	-3	21–16	W	U45
Loose	KC vs PHI 2024 · Postseason · loose	-1.5	22–40	L	O48.5
Loose	JAX vs CHI 2024 · Week 6 · loose · similar situation	-1.5	16–35	L	O44.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
KC	0-0	—	—	—
LAC	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: KC neutral, as favorite; LAC neutral, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KC	0-0	—	0-0
LAC	0-0	—	0-0

Went over in Q4. Of 111 earlier overs in games with totals 44.5–50.5, 24% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KC	8-2 80%	4-6 40%	4-6 40%
LAC	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 4 since 2023

KC 32–23 LAC KC leads · 55 games since 1999 · KC has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 8 2024	Los Angeles Chargers 17 @ Kansas City Chiefs 19	KC -5.5	LAC W
Sep 29 2024	Kansas City Chiefs 17 @ Los Angeles Chargers 10	KC -7.5	LAC W
Jan 7 2023	Kansas City Chiefs 13 @ Los Angeles Chargers 12	LAC -3.5	KC W
Oct 22 2023	Los Angeles Chargers 17 @ Kansas City Chiefs 31	KC -5.5	KC W