Chargers @ Raiders: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2025)

Mon, Sep 15, 2025, 10:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Las Vegas Raiders · Division game

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Los Angeles Chargers

1-0 · Power #15

▲ winner

Final

Las Vegas Raiders

1-0 · Power #30

final

Closing spread

LAC -3.5

✓ LAC W

Total

46.5

▼ Under · 29 pts

Model before kickoff

LAC 24–21 LV

✓ LAC (62%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenLAC -3.5

CloseLAC -3.5

Total44.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenLAC -3.5

no move

CloseLAC -3.5

No change since the open

Total

Open44.5

▲ 2

Close46.5

Up 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened LAC -3.5 · unchangedmodel LAC -2

model LAC -2

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 70%, covered 56% (97 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenLAC -3.5

CloseLAC -3.5

Total44.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like LAC as a 3.5-point road favorite at LV, the favorite won 6, covered 5, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: LAC won 20–9; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 29 points stayed under 46.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 64%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 45%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 0.8 against an average line of 3.1; 48.2 points a game (usually 43.6). Of the 4 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	PHI @ WSH 2024 · Week 16 · close · similar total & season form	-4.5	33–36	L	O47.5
Close	BAL @ PIT 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar spread & rest	-3.5	16–18	L	U49.5
Close	GB @ SEA 2024 · Week 15 · close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	30–13	W	U48.5
Close	HOU @ MIN 2024 · Week 3 · close · similar situation & team ratings	-2	7–34	L	U46.5
Close	BAL @ TB 2024 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & rest	-4.5	41–31	W	O50.5
Close	BAL @ LAC 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	30–23	W	O50.5
Close	MIN @ LAR 2024 · Postseason · close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	9–27	L	U47.5
Close	SF @ SEA 2024 · Week 6 · close · similar spread & total	-3.5	36–24	W	O48.5
Close	DET @ GB 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar spread	-2.5	24–14	W	U48.5
Close	CIN @ PIT 2024 · Week 18 · close · similar spread & total	-2.5	19–17	L	U48.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LAC W	1-0	100%	—	—
LV W	1-0	100%	—	1-0

Venue/role: LAC away, as favorite; LV home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LAC O	1-0	100%	1-0
LV U	0-1	0%	1-0

Stayed under: it needed 21 in the 4th quarter and got 3. 49% of games with totals 43.5–49.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LAC	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	8-2 80%
LV	3-7 30%	4-6 40%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 4 since 2023

LAC 33–22 LV LAC leads · 55 games since 1999 · LV has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Jan 5 2024	Los Angeles Chargers 34 @ Las Vegas Raiders 20	LAC -6.5	LAC W
Sep 8 2024	Las Vegas Raiders 10 @ Los Angeles Chargers 22	LAC -3	LAC W
Dec 14 2023	Los Angeles Chargers 21 @ Las Vegas Raiders 63	LV -3	LV W
Oct 1 2023	Las Vegas Raiders 17 @ Los Angeles Chargers 24	LAC -6.5	LAC W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LAC+0.5 →+0.9▲ 0.4#11

LV−2.0 →−1.4▲ 0.6#25

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

LAC

Longer bar = better

Offense

◀ LAC better

#14

#24

Defense

LV better ▶

0.0 #20

Turnovers

Even

0.0 #19

62 plays #16

Pace

Even

62 plays #15

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LAC has the ball

Even matchup

	LAC off	LV def	Edge
Points / game	27.0 #7	13.0 #1	LV
Yards / play	6.35 #3	4.94 #9	LAC
EPA / play	+0.32 #1	−0.07 #7	LAC
Success rate	58% #1	41% #9	LAC

When LV has the ball

Advantage: LV offense

	LV off	LAC def	Edge
Points / game	20.0 #23	21.0 #15	LAC
Yards / play	6.27 #5	5.98 #24	LV
EPA / play	+0.11 #10	+0.22 #31	LV
Success rate	43% #19	47% #24	LV

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.