Giants @ Cowboys: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2025)

Sun, Sep 14, 2025, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Dallas Cowboys · Division game

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

New York Giants

0-1 · Power #22

final

Final

Dallas Cowboys

0-1 · Power #21

▲ winner

Closing spread

DAL -4.5

✓ NYG W

Total

44.5

▲ Over · 77 pts

Model before kickoff

NYG 20–25 DAL

✓ DAL (66%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenDAL -3.5

CloseDAL -4.5

Total45.5 → 44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenDAL -3.5

1 → DAL

CloseDAL -4.5

1 pt toward Dallas Cowboys

Total

Open45.5

▼ 1

Close44.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened DAL -3.5 · closed DAL -4.5 · moved 1 toward DALmodel DAL -4.5 matches the line

model DAL -4.5 = line ✓

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 3.5–5.5 since 2023: won 74%, covered 57% (96 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 49% (63 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenDAL -3.5

CloseDAL -4.5

Total45.5 → 44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like DAL as a 4.5-point home favorite against NYG, the favorite won 7, covered 4, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: DAL won 40–37; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 77 points went over 44.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 67%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 3.7 against an average line of 5.1; 43.9 points a game (usually 44.1). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	PHI vs ATL 2024 · Week 2 · close · similar rest & spread	-5.5	21–22	L	U46.5
Close	HOU vs JAX 2024 · Week 4 · close · similar situation & spread	-5.5	24–20	L	U46.5
Close	IND vs TEN 2024 · Week 16 · close · similar spread	-4.5	38–30	W	O43.5
Loose	IND vs MIA 2024 · Week 7 · loose · similar season form & situation	-3.5	16–10	W	U43.5
Loose	JAX vs CLE 2024 · Week 2 · loose · similar spread	-3.5	13–18	L	U41.5
Loose	LAR vs LV 2024 · Week 7 · loose · similar total	-7.5	20–15	L	U43.5
Loose	CLE vs NYG 2024 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation	-6.5	15–21	L	U37.5
Loose	CHI vs LAR 2024 · Week 4 · loose · similar season form & spread	-3.5	24–18	W	O40.5
Loose	CIN vs LV 2024 · Week 9 · loose · similar total	-7.5	41–24	W	O44.5
Loose	IND vs JAX 2024 · Week 18 · loose	-3.5	26–23	L	O45.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NYG L	0-1	0%	0-1	0-1
DAL W	1-0	100%	—	—

Venue/role: NYG away, as underdog; DAL home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NYG U	0-1	0%	0-1
DAL U	0-1	0%	0-1

Went over in Q4. Of 151 earlier overs in games with totals 41.5–47.5, 21% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NYG	1-9 10%	2-8 20%	4-6 40%
DAL	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 4 since 2023

NYG 24–32 DAL DAL leads · 56 games since 1999 · NYG has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 28 2024	New York Giants 20 @ Dallas Cowboys 27	DAL -4.5	DAL W
Sep 26 2024	Dallas Cowboys 20 @ New York Giants 15	DAL -5.5	NYG W
Nov 12 2023	New York Giants 17 @ Dallas Cowboys 49	DAL -17.5	DAL W
Sep 10 2023	Dallas Cowboys 40 @ New York Giants 0	—	—

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NYG−2.6 →−3.5▼ 0.9#31

DAL−1.0 →−0.7▲ 0.3#20

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

NYG

Longer bar = better

DAL

#30

Offense

DAL better ▶

#14

#27

Defense

DAL better ▶

#22

0.0 #23

Turnovers

◀ NYG better

−1.0 #27

62 plays #16

Pace

◀ NYG faster

56 plays #24

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NYG has the ball

Advantage: DAL defense

	NYG off	DAL def	Edge
Points / game	6.0 #32	24.0 #23	DAL
Yards / play	3.73 #30	4.87 #13	DAL
EPA / play	−0.24 #28	+0.16 #23	DAL
Success rate	34% #31	51% #29	Even

When DAL has the ball

Advantage: DAL offense

	DAL off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	20.0 #18	21.0 #20	Even
Yards / play	5.48 #10	6.65 #31	DAL
EPA / play	+0.04 #16	+0.19 #25	DAL
Success rate	45% #12	53% #31	DAL

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.