Seahawks @ Steelers: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2025)

Sun, Sep 14, 2025, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Pittsburgh Steelers

Weather at kickoff80°F5 mphgusts 16DryWeather watch ›

Seattle Seahawks

0-1 · Power #1

▲ winner

Final

Pittsburgh Steelers

1-0 · Power #19

final

Closing spread

PIT -3.5

✓ SEA W

Total

40.5

▲ Over · 48 pts

Model before kickoff

SEA 21–24 PIT

✗ PIT (61%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenPIT -2.5

ClosePIT -3.5

Total40.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenPIT -2.5

1 → PIT

ClosePIT -3.5

1 pt toward Pittsburgh Steelers

Total

Open40.5

no move

Close40.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened PIT -2.5 · closed PIT -3.5 · moved 1 toward PITmodel Pick’em

model Pick’em

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 68%, covered 55% (143 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 42% (24 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenPIT -2.5

ClosePIT -3.5

Total40.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like PIT as a 3.5-point home favorite against SEA, the favorite won 8, covered 7, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: SEA won 31–17 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 48 points went over 40.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 64%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 45%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6.5 against an average line of 3.4; 41.3 points a game (usually 43.6). Of the 5 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	CHI vs LAR 2024 · Week 4 · very close · similar total & rest	-3.5	24–18	W	O40.5
Close	IND vs TEN 2024 · Week 16 · close · similar rest & spread	-4.5	38–30	W	O43.5
Close	TEN vs NE 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	20–17	L	U38.5
Close	TEN vs JAX 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar total & rest	-3.5	6–10	L	U40.5
Close	IND vs MIA 2024 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & situation	-3.5	16–10	W	U43.5
Close	IND vs CHI 2024 · Week 3 · close · similar rest & situation	-2.5	21–16	W	U43.5
Close	DEN vs LV 2024 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	34–18	W	O35.5
Close	WSH vs CLE 2024 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & situation	-3.5	34–13	W	O43.5
Loose	LV vs JAX 2024 · Week 16 · loose · similar rest & spread	-2.5	19–14	W	U41.5
Loose	NYJ vs IND 2024 · Week 11 · loose · similar rest & spread	-4.5	27–28	L	O43.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SEA L	0-1	0%	—	0-1
PIT L	0-1	0%	—	0-1

Venue/role: SEA away, as underdog; PIT home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SEA U	0-1	0%	0-1
PIT O	1-0	100%	1-0

Went over in Q4. Of 116 earlier overs in games with totals 37.5–43.5, 24% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SEA	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	4-6 40%
PIT	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

SEA 5–5 PIT Series tied · 10 games since 1999 · SEA has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 31 2023	Pittsburgh Steelers 30 @ Seattle Seahawks 23	SEA -4	PIT W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SEA−0.1 →−0.9▼ 0.8#22

PIT+0.5 →+0.3▼ 0.2#16

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

SEA

Longer bar = better

PIT

#23

Offense

PIT better ▶

#12

#20

Defense

◀ SEA better

#28

0.0 #22

Turnovers

PIT better ▶

+1.0 #5

50 plays #29

Pace

Even

54 plays #27

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SEA has the ball

Even matchup

	SEA off	PIT def	Edge
Points / game	13.0 #27	32.0 #28	Even
Yards / play	4.60 #23	6.35 #29	SEA
EPA / play	−0.27 #31	+0.21 #27	Even
Success rate	47% #10	50% #26	SEA

When PIT has the ball

Advantage: PIT offense

	PIT off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	34.0 #3	17.0 #13	PIT
Yards / play	5.02 #17	5.33 #21	Even
EPA / play	+0.17 #8	+0.11 #19	PIT
Success rate	42% #20	50% #27	PIT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.