Browns @ Ravens: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2025)

Sun, Sep 14, 2025, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Baltimore Ravens · Division game

Weather at kickoff80°F3 mphgusts 13DryWeather watch ›

Cleveland Browns

0-1 · Power #29

final

Final

Baltimore Ravens

0-1 · Power #14

▲ winner

Closing spread

BAL -12.5

✓ BAL W

Total

46.5

▲ Over · 58 pts

Model before kickoff

CLE 18–30 BAL

✓ BAL (87%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenBAL -12.5

CloseBAL -12.5

Total45.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenBAL -12.5

no move

CloseBAL -12.5

No change since the open

Total

Open45.5

▲ 1

Close46.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened BAL -12.5 · unchangedmodel BAL -10.5

model BAL -10.5

Openline modelKickoff

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenBAL -12.5

CloseBAL -12.5

Total45.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like BAL as a 12.5-point home favorite against CLE, the favorite won 9, covered 6, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: BAL won 41–17; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 58 points went over 46.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 83%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 44%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 56%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 17 against an average line of 11.8; 46.8 points a game (usually 46.7). Of the 6 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	DET vs TEN 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & total	-12.5	52–14	W	O46.5
Close	TB vs NO 2024 · Week 18 · close · similar rest & total	-14.5	27–19	L	O44.5
Close	GB vs NO 2024 · Week 16 · close · similar rest	-14.5	34–0	W	U43.5
Close	SF vs NE 2024 · Week 4 · close · similar situation & season form	-10.5	30–13	W	O41.5
Loose	BUF vs NE 2024 · Week 16 · loose · similar rest & total	-14.5	24–21	L	U47.5
Loose	GB vs CHI 2024 · Week 18 · loose	-10.5	22–24	L	O41.5
Loose	BAL vs DEN 2024 · Week 9 · loose · similar rest & total	-8.5	41–10	W	O46.5
Loose	KC vs DEN 2022 · Week 17 · loose · similar rest	-13	27–24	L	O46
Loose	BUF vs TEN 2024 · Week 7 · loose · similar rest	-9.5	34–10	W	O41.5
Loose	BAL vs PIT 2024 · Postseason · loose · similar rest	-9.5	28–14	W	U44.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CLE W	1-0	100%	—	1-0
BAL L	0-1	0%	—	0-1

Venue/role: CLE away, as underdog; BAL home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CLE U	0-1	0%	0-1
BAL O	1-0	100%	0-1

Went over in Q4. Of 128 earlier overs in games with totals 43.5–49.5, 23% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CLE	1-9 10%	2-8 20%	4-6 40%
BAL	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 4 since 2023

CLE 16–39 BAL BAL leads · 55 games since 1999 · CLE has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Jan 4 2024	Cleveland Browns 10 @ Baltimore Ravens 35	BAL -20.5	BAL W
Oct 27 2024	Baltimore Ravens 24 @ Cleveland Browns 29	BAL -7.5	CLE W
Nov 12 2023	Cleveland Browns 33 @ Baltimore Ravens 31	BAL -6	CLE W
Oct 1 2023	Baltimore Ravens 28 @ Cleveland Browns 3	—	—

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CLE−2.1 →−1.6▲ 0.5#26

BAL+3.6 →+3.4▼ 0.2#1

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

CLE

Longer bar = better

BAL

#22

Offense

BAL better ▶

Defense

◀ CLE better

#29

−2.0 #30

Turnovers

BAL better ▶

−1.0 #25

71 plays #4

Pace

◀ CLE faster

50 plays #28

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CLE has the ball

Advantage: CLE offense

	CLE off	BAL def	Edge
Points / game	16.0 #22	41.0 #32	CLE
Yards / play	4.61 #22	6.37 #30	CLE
EPA / play	−0.05 #20	+0.23 #29	CLE
Success rate	39% #25	49% #25	Even

When BAL has the ball

Advantage: BAL offense

	BAL off	CLE def	Edge
Points / game	40.0 #2	17.0 #12	BAL
Yards / play	8.64 #1	2.88 #2	Even
EPA / play	+0.39 #1	−0.11 #9	BAL
Success rate	50% #5	41% #9	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.