Panthers @ Cardinals: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2025)

Sun, Sep 14, 2025, 4:05 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Arizona Cardinals

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Carolina Panthers

0-1 · Power #26

final

Final

Arizona Cardinals

1-0 · Power #25

▲ winner

Closing spread

ARI -6.5

✓ CAR W

Total

45.5

▲ Over · 49 pts

Model before kickoff

CAR 20–26 ARI

✓ ARI (73%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenARI -6.5

CloseARI -6.5

Total45.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenARI -6.5

no move

CloseARI -6.5

No change since the open

Total

Open45.5

no move

Close45.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ARI -6.5 · unchangedmodel ARI -7.5

model ARI -7.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 5.5–7.5 since 2023: won 73%, covered 51% (93 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenARI -6.5

CloseARI -6.5

Total45.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ARI as a 6.5-point home favorite against CAR, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: ARI won 27–22; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 49 points went over 45.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 70%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 46%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 5.6 against an average line of 6.5; 53 points a game (usually 45.7). Of the 5 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	HOU vs JAX 2024 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & situation	-5.5	24–20	L	U46.5
Close	PHI vs JAX 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & spread	-7.5	28–23	L	O46.5
Close	CIN vs LV 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & spread	-7.5	41–24	W	O44.5
Close	ATL vs CAR 2024 · Week 18 · close · similar rest & spread	-7.5	38–44	L	O48.5
Close	SF vs DAL 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & total	-5.5	30–24	W	O47.5
Close	TB vs LV 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar spread & rest	-6.5	28–13	W	U47.5
Close	PIT vs CLE 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar rest & spread	-6.5	27–14	W	U42.5
Loose	PHI vs ATL 2024 · Week 2 · loose · similar situation	-5.5	21–22	L	U46.5
Loose	DEN vs CLE 2024 · Week 13 · loose · similar spread	-6.5	41–32	W	O41.5
Loose	CLE vs NYG 2024 · Week 3 · loose · similar rest & spread	-6.5	15–21	L	U37.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CAR L	0-1	0%	0-1	0-1
ARI W	1-0	100%	—	1-0

Venue/role: CAR away, as underdog; ARI home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CAR U	0-1	0%	0-1
ARI U	0-1	0%	1-0

Went over in Q4. Of 143 earlier overs in games with totals 42.5–48.5, 22% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CAR	4-6 40%	7-3 70%	7-3 70%
ARI	5-5 50%	7-3 70%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

CAR 14–7 ARI CAR leads · 21 games since 2001 · ARI has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 22 2024	Arizona Cardinals 30 @ Carolina Panthers 36	ARI -5.5	CAR W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CAR−3.5 →−4.5▼ 1.0#32

ARI+0.1 →+0.4▲ 0.3#15

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

CAR

Longer bar = better

ARI

#29

Offense

ARI better ▶

#20

#24

Defense

ARI better ▶

#11

−2.0 #29

Turnovers

ARI better ▶

0.0 #17

61 plays #18

Pace

Even

61 plays #19

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CAR has the ball

Advantage: ARI defense

	CAR off	ARI def	Edge
Points / game	10.0 #29	13.0 #6	ARI
Yards / play	4.18 #28	4.57 #7	ARI
EPA / play	−0.26 #29	−0.04 #14	ARI
Success rate	35% #30	43% #17	ARI

When ARI has the ball

Even matchup

	ARI off	CAR def	Edge
Points / game	20.0 #15	26.0 #24	ARI
Yards / play	4.52 #26	6.00 #26	Even
EPA / play	+0.04 #15	+0.15 #22	ARI
Success rate	41% #23	48% #24	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.