Jaguars vs Bears: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2024)

Sun, Oct 13, 2024, 9:30 AM EDTWeek 6 · Neutral site

Weather at kickoff51°F1 mphDryWeather watch ›

Jacksonville Jaguars

1-4 · Power #29

final

Final

Chicago Bears

3-2 · Power #24

▲ winner

Closing spread

JAX -1.5

✓ CHI W

Total

44.5

▲ Over · 51 pts

Model before kickoff

JAX 24–22 CHI

✗ JAX (54%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenCHI -2

CloseJAX -1.5

Total43.5 → 44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
JAX WLLWL	2-3	40%	—	0-2
CHI WWLWW	4-1	80%	—	1-1

Venue/role: JAX neutral, as favorite; CHI neutral, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
JAX UUOUO	2-3	40%	1-4
CHI UUUOO	2-3	40%	3-2

Went over in Q4. Of 71 earlier overs in games with totals 41.5–47.5, 20% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
JAX	2-8 20%	3-7 30%	4-6 40%
CHI	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

JAX 2–5 CHI CHI leads · 7 games since 2001 · CHI has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

JAX+0.2 →−2.4▼ 2.6#29

CHI−0.3 →+0.2▲ 0.5#14

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

JAX

Longer bar = better

CHI

#18

Offense

◀ JAX better

#24

#29

Defense

CHI better ▶

−0.6 #26

Turnovers

CHI better ▶

+1.0 #4

58 plays #29

Pace

CHI faster ▶

65 plays #6

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When JAX has the ball

Advantage: CHI defense

	JAX off	CHI def	Edge
Points / game	19.4 #21	17.0 #6	CHI
Yards / play	5.69 #10	5.05 #7	Even
EPA / play	−0.04 #21	−0.17 #5	CHI
Success rate	41% #20	39% #6	CHI

When CHI has the ball

Advantage: CHI offense

	CHI off	JAX def	Edge
Points / game	22.6 #16	28.6 #30	CHI
Yards / play	4.40 #29	6.02 #31	Even
EPA / play	−0.10 #25	+0.18 #32	CHI
Success rate	40% #24	44% #21	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

JAX scoring against the CHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
JAX scored	3.4 #21	6.4 #16	9.8 #21	5.6 #9	4.0 #24	9.6 #22
CHI allowed	4.0 #9	6.6 #16	10.6 #14	2.6 #4	3.8 #5	6.4 #4

CHI scoring against the JAX defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CHI scored	2.0 #30	8.0 #9	10.0 #20	4.0 #19	8.6 #2	12.6 #8
JAX allowed	6.8 #26	9.4 #27	16.2 #31	2.6 #4	9.8 #29	12.4 #23

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.