FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 18: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS6-1038% covered
Upsets6outright
Over / Under8-850% over
Model Favorite10-663% won
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
10–567%
94–9849%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
7–464%
43–4350%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
5–271%
21–2744%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
2–167%
7–750%
17–1652%
7+ pts
0–10%
1–325%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Saturday, Jan 3

2
Final · Division
8-8 · #26
14
16
Spread
TB -3
✓ CAR W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼3
▼ Under 30
Projected
20–24
✓ TB won
Trend: CAR ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: TB by 3 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
13-3 · #1
13
12-4 · #10
3
Spread
SEA -2.5
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼1
▼ Under 16
Projected
25–22
✓ SEA won
Trend: SEA ATS ✓ Model: SF by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Jan 4

14
Final · Division
6-10 · #23
17
7-9 · #20
19
Spread
ATL -3.5
✓ NO W ATS
Total
43.5 ▲1
▼ Under 36
Projected
20–23
✓ ATL won
Trend: NO ATS ✓ Model: NO by 0 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
4-12 · #29
20
6-10 · #24
18
Spread
CIN -8.5
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲3
▼ Under 38
Projected
18–26
✗ CIN lost
Trend: CIN ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: CLE by 2 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
9-6-1 · #11
3
8-8 · #17
16
Spread
MIN -13.5
✓ GB W ATS
Total
37.5
▼ Under 19
Projected
15–26
✓ MIN won
Trend: MIN ATS ✗ Model: GB by 19 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
7-8-1 · #21
17
3-13 · #22
34
Spread
DAL -3
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼2
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
28–25
✗ DAL lost
Trend: NYG ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: NYG by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
3-13 · #31
7
41
Spread
JAX -13.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲1
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
15–28
✓ JAX won
Trend: JAX ATS ✓ Model: TEN by 1 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
8-8 · #13
30
11-5 · #3
38
Spread
HOU -9.5
✓ IND W ATS
Total
37.5 ▼3
▲ Over 68 · Q2
Projected
18–27
✓ HOU won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: IND by 6 ✓ Model: Over 7.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
3-13 · #32
8
11-5 · #4
35
Spread
BUF -13.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
39.5
▲ Over 43 · Q4
Projected
16–30
✓ BUF won
Trend: BUF ATS ✓ Model: BUF by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 6.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
8-8 · #6
19
11-5 · #16
16
Spread
CHI -3
✓ DET W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▼ Under 35
Projected
25–28
✗ CHI lost
Trend: CHI ATS ✗ Model: DET by 5.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
11-5 · #15
3
13-3 · #8
19
Spread
DEN -15.5
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
37.5 ▼1
▼ Under 22
Projected
14–28
✓ DEN won
Trend: LAC ATS ✗ Model: LAC by 13 ✗ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
6-10 · #12
12
2-14 · #30
14
Spread
KC -3.5
✓ LV W ATS
Total
35.5
▼ Under 26
Projected
21–16
✗ KC lost
Trend: LV ATS ✓ Model: KC by 10 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
3-13 · #25
20
11-5 · #2
37
Spread
LAR -14.5
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲4
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
18–32
✓ LAR won
Trend: LAR ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: ARI by 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
7-9 · #28
10
38
Spread
NE -14.5
✓ NE W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼3
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
16–29
✓ NE won
Trend: NE ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: MIA by 6.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Division
4-12 · #27
24
11-5 · #9
17
Spread
PHI -3
✓ WSH W ATS
Total
38.5 ▼4
▲ Over 41 · Q4
Projected
19–23
✗ PHI lost
Trend: WSH ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: PHI by 10.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
8-8 · #14
24
9-7 · #19
26
Spread
BAL -4.5
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼2
▲ Over 50 · Q4
Projected
26–22
✗ BAL lost
Trend: BAL ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: PIT by 2 ✓ Model: Over 6.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total