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NFL · 2025

NFL Week 17 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 17: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
16 finalFavorites 6-10 ATS7 upsetsO/U 7-9Model Favorite 9-7Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS6-1038% covered
Upsets7outright
Over / Under7-944% over
Model Favorite9-756% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up4 all 4 final
Over1 25%Under3 75%
Moved down10 all 10 final
Over5 50%Under5 50%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
3–925%
94–9849%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
2–625%
43–4350%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
1–420%
21–2744%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
0–20%
7–750%
17–1652%
7+ pts
0–10%
1–325%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Dec 25

3
Final · Division
Dallas Cowboys
6-8-1 · #21
30
Washington Commanders
4-11 · #27
23
Spread
DAL -8.5
✓ WSH W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼1
▲ Over 53 · Q4
Projected
30–22
✓ DAL won
Trend: DAL ATS ✗ Model: WSH by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Division
Detroit Lions
8-7 · #6
10
Minnesota Vikings
7-8 · #17
23
Spread
DET -7.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼3
▼ Under 33
Projected
26–18
✗ DET lost
Trend: DET ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: DET by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Denver Broncos
12-3 · #8
20
Kansas City Chiefs
6-9 · #12
13
Spread
DEN -13.5
✓ KC W ATS
Total
37.5 ▼2
▼ Under 33
Projected
27–15
✓ DEN won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: KC by 15 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Saturday, Dec 27

2
Final · Non-conf
Houston Texans
10-5 · #3
20
Los Angeles Chargers
11-4 · #15
16
Spread
LAC -1.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
40.5 ▲1
▼ Under 36
Projected
20–21
✗ LAC lost
Trend: LAC ATS ✗ Model: HOU by 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Baltimore Ravens
7-8 · #14
41
Green Bay Packers
9-5-1 · #11
24
Spread
GB -2.5
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
37.5 ▼9
▲ Over 65 · Q2
Projected
18–20
✗ GB lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: GB by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Dec 28

10
Final · Non-conf
Arizona Cardinals
3-12 · #25
14
Cincinnati Bengals
5-10 · #24
37
Spread
CIN -7
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲2
▼ Under 51
Projected
21–28
✓ CIN won
Trend: CIN ATS ✓ Model: ARI by 6 ✗ Model: Under 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
Pittsburgh Steelers
9-6 · #19
6
Cleveland Browns
3-12 · #29
13
Spread
PIT -3.5
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
34.5 ▼1
▼ Under 19
Projected
20–17
✗ PIT lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: CLE by 0 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
New Orleans Saints
5-10 · #23
34
Tennessee Titans
3-12 · #31
26
Spread
NO -1.5
✓ NO W ATS
Total
38.5 ▼1
▲ Over 60 · Q3
Projected
19–17
✓ NO won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: NO by 1 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
Jacksonville Jaguars
11-4 · #7
23
Indianapolis Colts
8-7 · #13
17
Spread
JAX -4.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲4
▼ Under 40
Projected
27–23
✓ JAX won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: IND by 6 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7-8 · #18
17
Miami Dolphins
6-9 · #28
20
Spread
TB -5.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼2
▼ Under 37
Projected
26–21
✗ TB lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: MIA by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
New England Patriots
12-3 · #5
42
New York Jets
3-12 · #32
10
Spread
NE -12.5
✓ NE W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼2
▲ Over 52 · Q3
Projected
29–17
✓ NE won
Trend: NE ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: NYJ by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Seattle Seahawks
12-3 · #1
27
Carolina Panthers
8-7 · #26
10
Spread
SEA -6.5
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
42.5
▼ Under 37
Projected
25–19
✓ SEA won
Trend: SEA ATS ✓ Model: SEA by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
New York Giants
2-13 · #22
34
Las Vegas Raiders
2-13 · #30
10
Spread
NYG -3
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼3
▲ Over 44 · Q4
Projected
23–20
✓ NYG won
Trend: NYG ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: NYG by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Philadelphia Eagles
10-5 · #9
13
Buffalo Bills
11-4 · #4
12
Spread
BUF -3.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▼ Under 25
Projected
21–25
✗ BUF lost
Model: BUF by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Chicago Bears
11-4 · #16
38
San Francisco 49ers
11-4 · #10
42
Spread
SF -4.5
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▲ Over 80 · Q3
Projected
22–27
✓ SF won
Trend: SF ATS ✗ Model: SF by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Monday, Dec 29

1
Final · Non-conf
Los Angeles Rams
11-4 · #2
24
Atlanta Falcons
6-9 · #20
27
Spread
LAR -7.5
✓ ATL W ATS
Total
48.5
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
28–20
✗ LAR lost
Trend: LAR ATS ✗ Model: LAR by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total