Cardinals @ Bengals: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 17, 2025)

Sun, Dec 28, 2025, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 17 · at Cincinnati Bengals

Weather at kickoff65°F13 mphgusts 30Wet0.0 mmWindy Over 46% of 93 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Arizona Cardinals

3-12 · Power #25

final

Final

Cincinnati Bengals

5-10 · Power #24

▲ winner

Closing spread

CIN -7

✓ CIN W

Total

53.5

▼ Under · 51 pts

Model before kickoff

ARI 21–28 CIN

✓ CIN (72%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenCIN -5.5

CloseCIN -7

Total51.5 → 53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenCIN -5.5

1.5 → CIN

CloseCIN -7

1.5 pts toward Cincinnati Bengals

Total

Open51.5

▲ 2

Close53.5

Up 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened CIN -5.5 · closed CIN -7 · moved 1.5 toward CINmodel CIN -1

model CIN -1

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 6–8 since 2023: won 73%, covered 51% (100 games)ⓘ

Moved onto 7Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 46% (115 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenCIN -5.5

CloseCIN -7

Total51.5 → 53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like CIN as a 7-point home favorite against ARI, the favorite won 8, covered 4, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: CIN won 37–14; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 51 points stayed under 53.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 71%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 56%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6.9 against an average line of 5.4; 43.7 points a game (usually 46.4). Of the 2 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	LAR vs ARI 2024 · Week 17 · close · similar spread & rest	-6.5	13–9	L	U48.5
Loose	MIA vs ARI 2024 · Week 8 · loose · similar rest & situation	-4.5	27–28	L	O46.5
Loose	DAL vs ARI 2025 · Week 9 · loose · similar total	-3.5	17–27	L	U53.5
Loose	SF vs CAR 2025 · Week 12 · loose · similar rest & situation	-7	20–9	W	U48.5
Loose	ATL vs DAL 2024 · Week 9 · loose · similar rest & season form	-3.5	27–21	W	U51.5
Loose	TB vs ARI 2025 · Week 13 · loose · similar rest & situation	-4.5	20–17	L	U45.5
Loose	MIA vs NYJ 2024 · Week 14 · loose · similar season form & situation	-6.5	32–26	L	O45.5
Loose	MIN vs DET 2022 · Week 3 · loose · similar rest	-6.5	28–24	L	O51.5
Loose	DET vs CHI 2022 · Week 17 · loose · similar rest & season form	-4.5	41–10	W	U52.5
Loose	TB vs LV 2024 · Week 14 · loose · similar situation & rest	-6.5	28–13	W	U47.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARI LWLLL	6-9	40%	5-2	5-7
CIN WWWLW	7-8	47%	3-4	2-2

Venue/role: ARI away, as underdog; CIN home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARI OUOOU	9-6	60%	3-12
CIN UUOUO	9-6	60%	5-10

Stayed under: it needed 10 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 49% of games with totals 50.5–56.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARI	1-9 10%	4-6 40%	7-3 70%
CIN	3-7 30%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

ARI 4–4 CIN Series tied · 8 games since 2000 · CIN has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 8 2023	Cincinnati Bengals 34 @ Arizona Cardinals 20	—	—

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ARI+0.1 →−1.6▼ 1.7#22

CIN+0.5 →−3.4▼ 3.9#28

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW16

ARI

Longer bar = better

CIN

#23

Offense

CIN better ▶

#19

#26

Defense

◀ ARI better

#32

0.0 #15

Turnovers

Even

−0.1 #18

64 plays #6

Pace

◀ ARI faster

61 plays #19

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ARI has the ball

Advantage: ARI offense

	ARI off	CIN def	Edge
Points / game	21.4 #21	30.5 #32	ARI
Yards / play	5.16 #23	6.41 #32	ARI
EPA / play	−0.02 #25	+0.15 #30	ARI
Success rate	43% #22	49% #32	ARI

When CIN has the ball

Advantage: CIN offense

	CIN off	ARI def	Edge
Points / game	23.9 #13	27.6 #29	CIN
Yards / play	5.24 #20	5.56 #23	Even
EPA / play	−0.03 #26	+0.06 #24	Even
Success rate	44% #18	48% #27	CIN

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

ARI scoring against the CIN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARI scored	4.9 #13	6.5 #21	11.4 #16	4.6 #20	5.4 #28	10.0 #25
CIN allowed	4.9 #19	9.7 #30	14.6 #29	6.3 #28	9.6 #30	15.9 #32

CIN scoring against the ARI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CIN scored	4.2 #20	6.7 #20	10.9 #21	5.3 #14	7.8 #9	13.1 #8
ARI allowed	6.1 #28	8.1 #25	14.1 #26	4.7 #17	8.6 #28	13.3 #28

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.