Seahawks @ Panthers: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 17, 2025)

Sun, Dec 28, 2025, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 17 · at Carolina Panthers

Weather at kickoff42°F3 mphgusts 10DryWeather watch ›

Seattle Seahawks

12-3 · Power #1

▲ winner

Final

Carolina Panthers

8-7 · Power #26

final

Closing spread

SEA -6.5

✓ SEA W

Total

42.5

▼ Under · 37 pts

Model before kickoff

SEA 25–19 CAR

✓ SEA (73%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenSEA -7.5

CloseSEA -6.5

Total42.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenSEA -7.5

1 → CAR

CloseSEA -6.5

1 pt toward Carolina Panthers

Total

Open42.5

no move

Close42.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened SEA -7.5 · closed SEA -6.5 · moved 1 toward CARmodel SEA -8

model SEA -8

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 5.5–7.5 since 2023: won 74%, covered 47% (69 games)ⓘ

Crossed 7The team the line moved toward covered 33% (40 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenSEA -7.5

CloseSEA -6.5

Total42.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SEA as a 6.5-point road favorite at CAR, the favorite won 9, covered 4, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: SEA won 27–10; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 37 points stayed under 42.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 71%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 53%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 10.3 against an average line of 6.9; 45.5 points a game (usually 46). Of the 7 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	SEA @ ATL 2025 · Week 14 · very close · similar spread & season form	-7	37–9	W	O44.5
Very close	GB @ CHI 2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar total & situation	-6.5	20–19	L	U41.5
Very close	MIN @ TEN 2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & spread	-5.5	23–13	W	U40.5
Very close	DET @ CHI 2024 · Week 16 · very close · similar spread & season form	-6.5	34–17	W	O47.5
Very close	KC @ LV 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-8.5	27–20	L	O42.5
Close	WSH @ NO 2024 · Week 15 · close · similar season form & situation	-7.5	20–19	L	U44.5
Close	GB @ ARI 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & situation	-6.5	27–23	L	O44.5
Close	GB @ NYG 2025 · Week 11 · close · similar team ratings & spread	-7.5	27–20	L	O42.5
Close	BAL @ CLE 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar situation & team ratings	-7.5	24–29	L	O44.5
Close	LAC @ NE 2024 · Week 17 · close · similar situation & rest	-5.5	40–7	W	O41.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SEA LWWLL	10-5	67%	6-1	8-4
CAR WLWLW	9-6	60%	5-2	9-4

Venue/role: SEA away, as favorite; CAR home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SEA OUOUO	9-6	60%	12-3
CAR OUOUU	7-8	47%	8-7

Stayed under: it needed 23 in the 4th quarter and got 17. 53% of games with totals 39.5–45.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SEA	9-1 90%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%
CAR	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

SEA 12–5 CAR SEA leads · 17 games since 2000 · SEA has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 24 2023	Carolina Panthers 27 @ Seattle Seahawks 37	—	—

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SEA−0.1 →+4.9▲ 5.0#2

CAR−3.5 →−2.9▲ 0.6#24

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW16

SEA

Longer bar = better

CAR

Offense

◀ SEA better

#24

Defense

◀ SEA better

#20

−0.3 #23

Turnovers

CAR better ▶

0.0 #14

59 plays #25

Pace

CAR faster ▶

61 plays #21

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SEA has the ball

Advantage: SEA offense

	SEA off	CAR def	Edge
Points / game	29.5 #2	22.5 #13	SEA
Yards / play	6.04 #2	5.58 #24	SEA
EPA / play	+0.04 #14	+0.08 #26	SEA
Success rate	47% #8	45% #17	SEA

When CAR has the ball

Advantage: SEA defense

	CAR off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	19.1 #27	18.6 #2	SEA
Yards / play	5.06 #25	4.68 #2	SEA
EPA / play	−0.01 #23	−0.09 #5	SEA
Success rate	43% #21	40% #4	SEA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

SEA scoring against the CAR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	6.4 #2	8.9 #4	15.3 #4	7.1 #2	6.6 #15	13.7 #5
CAR allowed	4.0 #10	9.9 #31	13.9 #25	3.9 #9	4.6 #4	8.5 #2

CAR scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CAR scored	4.2 #20	4.1 #29	8.3 #28	4.7 #17	5.9 #23	10.6 #22
SEA allowed	3.4 #5	4.5 #2	7.9 #2	3.7 #6	6.5 #16	10.3 #12

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.