Giants @ Raiders: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 17, 2025)

Sun, Dec 28, 2025, 4:05 PM ESTWeek 17 · at Las Vegas Raiders

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

New York Giants

2-13 · Power #22

▲ winner

Final

Las Vegas Raiders

2-13 · Power #30

final

Closing spread

NYG -3

✓ NYG W

Total

40.5

▲ Over · 44 pts

Model before kickoff

NYG 23–20 LV

✓ NYG (61%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenNYG -3

CloseNYG -3

Total43.5 → 40.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenNYG -3

no move

CloseNYG -3

No change since the open

Total

Open43.5

▼ 3

Close40.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened NYG -3 · unchangedmodel NYG -3.5

model NYG -3.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 2–4 since 2023: won 66%, covered 56% (125 games)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenNYG -3

CloseNYG -3

Total43.5 → 40.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like NYG as a 3-point road favorite at LV, the favorite won 6, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: NYG won 34–10; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 44 points went over 40.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 62%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 5 against an average line of 3.1; 42.2 points a game (usually 44.5). Of the 5 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	IND @ NE 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	25–24	L	O41.5
Close	PHI @ NYG 2024 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	28–3	W	U42.5
Close	LAR @ NE 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & situation	-4.5	28–22	W	O42.5
Close	MIA @ NYJ 2025 · Week 14 · close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	34–10	W	O41.5
Close	ATL @ NYJ 2025 · Week 13 · close · similar spread & rest	-3	24–27	L	O38.5
Close	MIN @ NYG 2025 · Week 16 · close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	16–13	W	U41.5
Close	CIN @ CLE 2024 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & total	-5.5	21–14	W	U42.5
Close	TEN @ JAX 2024 · Week 17 · close · similar rest & season form	-1.5	13–20	L	U38.5
Close	DAL @ CAR 2025 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	27–30	L	O45.5
Close	TB @ CAR 2025 · Week 16 · close	-3	20–23	L	U44.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NYG WWLLL	7-8	47%	4-4	0-1
LV LLWLW	6-9	40%	3-4	5-7

Venue/role: NYG away, as favorite; LV home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NYG OOOOU	9-6	60%	2-13
LV UOOUO	7-8	47%	2-13

Went over in Q4. Of 164 earlier overs in games with totals 37.5–43.5, 28% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NYG	1-9 10%	5-5 50%	8-2 80%
LV	1-9 10%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

NYG 5–3 LV NYG leads · 8 games since 2001 · NYG has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 5 2023	New York Giants 6 @ Las Vegas Raiders 30	LV -3	LV W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NYG−2.6 →−3.2▼ 0.6#26

LV−2.0 →−5.7▼ 3.7#31

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW16

NYG

Longer bar = better

#23

Offense

◀ NYG better

#31

#29

Defense

LV better ▶

#21

−0.3 #27

Turnovers

Even

−0.3 #25

64 plays #11

Pace

◀ NYG faster

56 plays #32

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NYG has the ball

Even matchup

	NYG off	LV def	Edge
Points / game	20.9 #23	25.7 #25	Even
Yards / play	5.19 #22	5.17 #12	LV
EPA / play	−0.01 #20	+0.04 #22	Even
Success rate	41% #28	46% #25	Even

When LV has the ball

Even matchup

	LV off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	14.5 #32	27.5 #28	Even
Yards / play	4.48 #30	5.91 #29	Even
EPA / play	−0.20 #32	+0.12 #29	Even
Success rate	39% #30	48% #29	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

NYG scoring against the LV defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	4.7 #15	6.3 #23	11.1 #20	3.1 #26	6.7 #15	9.8 #26
LV allowed	5.3 #23	7.8 #21	13.1 #21	6.7 #30	5.5 #7	12.2 #19

LV scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LV scored	3.1 #30	3.3 #32	6.4 #32	2.3 #31	5.4 #29	7.7 #31
NYG allowed	4.5 #17	9.9 #31	14.4 #28	2.7 #1	9.7 #31	12.4 #22

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.