Cowboys @ Giants: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 18, 2025)

Sun, Jan 4, 2026, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 18 · at New York Giants · Division game

Weather at kickoff33°F6 mphgusts 15DryCold Over 55% of 98 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Dallas Cowboys

7-8-1 · Power #21

final

Final

New York Giants

3-13 · Power #22

▲ winner

Closing spread

DAL -3

✓ NYG W

Total

50.5

▲ Over · 51 pts

Model before kickoff

DAL 28–25 NYG

✗ DAL (60%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenDAL -4.5

CloseDAL -3

Total52.5 → 50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenDAL -4.5

1.5 → NYG

CloseDAL -3

1.5 pts toward New York Giants

Total

Open52.5

▼ 2

Close50.5

Down 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened DAL -4.5 · closed DAL -3 · moved 1.5 toward NYGmodel DAL -1.5

model DAL -1.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 2–4 since 2023: won 66%, covered 56% (127 games)ⓘ

Moved onto 3Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 46% (71 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenDAL -4.5

CloseDAL -3

Total52.5 → 50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like DAL as a 3-point road favorite at NYG, the favorite won 8, covered 7, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: NYG won 34–17 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 51 points went over 50.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 61%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 7 against an average line of 2.6; 47.6 points a game (usually 44.5). Of the 5 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	DAL @ CAR 2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & season form	-2.5	27–30	L	O45.5
Close	LAR @ NYJ 2024 · Week 16 · close · similar rest & situation	-2.5	19–9	W	U46.5
Close	DAL @ LV 2025 · Week 11 · close · similar season form & situation	-3.5	33–16	W	O48.5
Close	BAL @ CIN 2025 · Week 15 · close · similar situation & season form	-2.5	24–0	W	U51.5
Close	JAX @ ARI 2025 · Week 12 · close · similar season form & situation	-1.5	27–24	W	O46.5
Close	KC @ ATL 2024 · Week 3 · close · similar spread & season form	-3.5	22–17	W	U46.5
Close	CHI @ CIN 2025 · Week 9 · close · similar situation	-2.5	47–42	W	O51.5
Close	PHI @ DAL 2025 · Week 12 · close · similar spread & situation	-2.5	21–24	L	U48.5
Close	SF @ NYG 2025 · Week 9 · close · similar season form & situation	-2.5	34–24	W	O47.5
Close	CIN @ PIT 2024 · Week 18 · close · similar situation & season form	-2.5	19–17	L	U48.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
DAL –LLLL	6-9	40%	3-5	2-7
NYG WLLLW	8-8	50%	3-4	7-7

Venue/role: DAL away, as favorite; NYG home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
DAL OOOOO	12-4	75%	7-8-1
NYG OOOUO	10-6	63%	3-13

Went over in Q4. Of 93 earlier overs in games with totals 47.5–53.5, 25% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
DAL	5-5 50%	3-6 33%	8-2 80%
NYG	1-9 10%	5-5 50%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

DAL 32–24 NYG DAL leads · 56 games since 1999 · NYG has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 14 2025	New York Giants 37 @ Dallas Cowboys 40	DAL -4.5	NYG W
Nov 28 2024	New York Giants 20 @ Dallas Cowboys 27	DAL -4.5	DAL W
Sep 26 2024	Dallas Cowboys 20 @ New York Giants 15	DAL -5.5	NYG W
Nov 12 2023	New York Giants 17 @ Dallas Cowboys 49	DAL -17.5	DAL W
Sep 10 2023	Dallas Cowboys 40 @ New York Giants 0	—	—

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

DAL−1.0 →−0.9▲ 0.1#20

NYG−2.6 →−2.5▲ 0.1#23

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW17

DAL

Longer bar = better

NYG

Offense

◀ DAL better

#22

#32

Defense

NYG better ▶

#27

−0.5 #30

Turnovers

NYG better ▶

−0.2 #22

67 plays #1

Pace

◀ DAL faster

64 plays #9

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When DAL has the ball

Advantage: DAL offense

	DAL off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	28.4 #4	26.4 #26	DAL
Yards / play	5.98 #3	5.83 #27	DAL
EPA / play	+0.11 #5	+0.10 #28	DAL
Success rate	47% #7	47% #26	DAL

When NYG has the ball

Advantage: NYG offense

	NYG off	DAL def	Edge
Points / game	21.7 #21	29.8 #32	NYG
Yards / play	5.21 #22	6.19 #31	NYG
EPA / play	0.00 #18	+0.17 #32	NYG
Success rate	42% #27	49% #32	NYG

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

DAL scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DAL scored	4.4 #18	11.8 #1	16.2 #2	5.5 #12	6.3 #18	11.8 #13
NYG allowed	4.2 #14	9.5 #30	13.7 #25	2.9 #2	9.1 #30	12.1 #17

NYG scoring against the DAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	4.9 #12	6.6 #22	11.4 #17	3.6 #25	6.7 #14	10.3 #23
DAL allowed	7.9 #32	8.3 #24	16.1 #31	4.8 #19	8.7 #29	13.5 #28

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.