Eagles @ Cowboys: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2025)

Sun, Nov 23, 2025, 4:25 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Dallas Cowboys · Division game

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Philadelphia Eagles

8-2 · Power #9

final

Final

Dallas Cowboys

4-5-1 · Power #21

▲ winner

Closing spread

PHI -2.5

✓ DAL W

Total

48.5

▼ Under · 45 pts

Model before kickoff

PHI 26–23 DAL

✗ PHI (59%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenPHI -4

ClosePHI -2.5

Total51.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenPHI -4

1.5 → DAL

ClosePHI -2.5

1.5 pts toward Dallas Cowboys

Total

Open51.5

▼ 3

Close48.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened PHI -4 · closed PHI -2.5 · moved 1.5 toward DALmodel PHI -3.5

model PHI -3.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 63%, covered 53% (136 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 45% (47 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenPHI -4

ClosePHI -2.5

Total51.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like PHI as a 2.5-point road favorite at DAL, the favorite won 7, covered 7, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: DAL won 24–21 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 45 points stayed under 48.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 61%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 2.5 against an average line of 2.9; 47.3 points a game (usually 44.1). Of the 5 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	BAL @ CIN 2024 · Week 5 · very close · similar total & rest	-2.5	41–38	W	O47.5
Close	GB @ PIT 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & season form	-2.5	35–25	W	O45.5
Close	MIN @ LAR 2024 · Postseason · close · similar season form & rest	-2.5	9–27	L	U47.5
Close	TB @ NO 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & situation	-3.5	23–3	W	U45.5
Close	LAR @ NYJ 2024 · Week 16 · close · similar spread	-2.5	19–9	W	U46.5
Close	DAL @ CAR 2025 · Week 6 · close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	27–30	L	O45.5
Close	PHI @ LAR 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar situation & season form	-2.5	37–20	W	O47.5
Close	KC @ ATL 2024 · Week 3 · close · similar rest & season form	-3.5	22–17	W	U46.5
Close	BUF @ IND 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & situation	-4.5	30–20	W	O46.5
Close	LAC @ JAX 2025 · Week 11 · close · similar season form & rest	-2.5	6–35	L	U42.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PHI LWWWW	7-3	70%	4-1	6-3
DAL LWLLW	5-5	50%	2-2	3-1

Venue/role: PHI away, as favorite; DAL home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
PHI OOOUU	5-5	50%	8-2
DAL OOOUO	7-3	70%	4-5-1

Stayed under: it needed 14 in the 4th quarter and got 10. 50% of games with totals 45.5–51.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PHI	8-2 80%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%
DAL	4-5-1 44%	5-5 50%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

PHI 29–26 DAL PHI leads · 55 games since 1999 · DAL has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 4 2025	Dallas Cowboys 20 @ Philadelphia Eagles 24	PHI -7.5	DAL W
Dec 29 2024	Dallas Cowboys 7 @ Philadelphia Eagles 41	PHI -7.5	PHI W
Nov 10 2024	Philadelphia Eagles 34 @ Dallas Cowboys 6	PHI -7.5	PHI W
Dec 10 2023	Philadelphia Eagles 13 @ Dallas Cowboys 33	DAL -3.5	DAL W
Nov 5 2023	Dallas Cowboys 23 @ Philadelphia Eagles 28	PHI -3.5	PHI W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

PHI+3.2 →+2.9▼ 0.3#8

DAL−1.0 →−0.9▲ 0.1#19

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

PHI

Longer bar = better

DAL

#19

Offense

DAL better ▶

#11

Defense

◀ PHI better

#30

+0.6 #7

Turnovers

◀ PHI better

−0.4 #24

59 plays #25

Pace

DAL faster ▶

65 plays #4

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When PHI has the ball

Advantage: PHI offense

	PHI off	DAL def	Edge
Points / game	23.4 #16	29.3 #31	PHI
Yards / play	5.11 #24	5.92 #29	PHI
EPA / play	+0.03 #14	+0.12 #29	PHI
Success rate	43% #23	50% #31	PHI

When DAL has the ball

Advantage: DAL offense

	DAL off	PHI def	Edge
Points / game	29.6 #2	20.1 #8	DAL
Yards / play	5.87 #5	5.21 #13	DAL
EPA / play	+0.12 #5	−0.05 #7	Even
Success rate	47% #7	44% #14	DAL

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

PHI scoring against the DAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PHI scored	6.5 #4	7.2 #15	13.7 #6	4.7 #16	5.0 #28	9.7 #26
DAL allowed	7.1 #31	8.4 #24	15.5 #30	5.0 #19	8.5 #26	13.5 #26

DAL scoring against the PHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DAL scored	3.9 #20	12.9 #1	16.8 #2	5.9 #7	6.3 #20	12.2 #13
PHI allowed	4.6 #19	5.4 #5	10.0 #11	4.1 #13	6.0 #12	10.1 #9

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.