Seahawks @ Titans: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2025)

Sun, Nov 23, 2025, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Tennessee Titans

Weather at kickoff59°F1 mphgusts 6DryWeather watch ›

Seattle Seahawks

7-3 · Power #1

▲ winner

Final

Tennessee Titans

1-9 · Power #31

final

Closing spread

SEA -11.5

✓ TEN W

Total

41.5

▲ Over · 54 pts

Model before kickoff

SEA 28–16 TEN

✓ SEA (85%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenSEA -12.5

CloseSEA -11.5

Total42.5 → 41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenSEA -12.5

1 → TEN

CloseSEA -11.5

1 pt toward Tennessee Titans

Total

Open42.5

▼ 1

Close41.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened SEA -12.5 · closed SEA -11.5 · moved 1 toward TENmodel SEA -12.5

model SEA -12.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 44% (61 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenSEA -12.5

CloseSEA -11.5

Total42.5 → 41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 8 games most like SEA as an 11.5-point road favorite at TEN, the favorite won 6, covered 2, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: SEA won 30–24; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 8 similar games. 54 points went over 41.5, as in 6 of 8.

Favorite won

6 of 875%

Normal range · usually 84%

Favorite covered

2 of 825%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

6 of 875%

Normal range · usually 56%

Only 8 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 3.8 against an average line of 10.4; 47 points a game (usually 46.9). Of the 5 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 8 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	KC @ CAR 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar situation & spread	-11.5	30–27	L	O42.5
Close	KC @ LV 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & total	-8.5	27–20	L	O42.5
Close	LAC @ TEN 2025 · Week 9 · close · similar team ratings & situation	-9.5	27–20	L	O44.5
Loose	DAL @ CAR 2023 · Week 11 · loose · similar situation & season form	-11	33–10	W	U43.5
Loose	TB @ CAR 2022 · Week 7 · loose · similar rest	-13	3–21	L	U38.5
Loose	PHI @ NYG 2025 · Week 6 · loose · similar total & situation	-7.5	17–34	L	O41.5
Loose	PHI @ HOU 2022 · Week 9 · loose · similar situation	-13	29–17	L	O45.5
Loose	DET @ CIN 2025 · Week 5 · loose · similar rest & situation	-9.5	37–24	W	O48.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SEA WWWWW	8-2	80%	5-0	6-1
TEN LLLWW	4-6	40%	2-3	4-6

Venue/role: SEA away, as favorite; TEN home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SEA UOOOU	6-4	60%	7-3
TEN UOOOU	6-4	60%	1-9

Went over in Q3. Of 166 earlier overs in games with totals 38.5–44.5, 25% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SEA	7-3 70%	8-2 80%	6-4 60%
TEN	1-9 10%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

SEA 4–3 TEN SEA leads · 7 games since 2005 · SEA has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 24 2023	Seattle Seahawks 20 @ Tennessee Titans 17	SEA -3	P

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SEA−0.1 →+3.9▲ 4.0#4

TEN−1.8 →−6.3▼ 4.5#32

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

SEA

Longer bar = better

TEN

Offense

◀ SEA better

#32

Defense

◀ SEA better

#26

−0.7 #29

Turnovers

TEN better ▶

−0.4 #22

59 plays #22

Pace

◀ SEA faster

57 plays #28

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SEA has the ball

Advantage: SEA offense

	SEA off	TEN def	Edge
Points / game	29.4 #3	27.3 #30	SEA
Yards / play	6.17 #2	5.70 #26	SEA
EPA / play	+0.04 #12	+0.10 #27	SEA
Success rate	47% #9	45% #19	SEA

When TEN has the ball

Advantage: SEA defense

	TEN off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	14.3 #32	19.3 #6	SEA
Yards / play	4.23 #31	4.67 #4	SEA
EPA / play	−0.20 #32	−0.06 #6	SEA
Success rate	38% #31	42% #6	SEA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

SEA scoring against the TEN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	8.0 #1	10.1 #2	18.1 #1	6.0 #7	5.3 #24	11.3 #20
TEN allowed	6.7 #29	6.4 #17	13.1 #24	7.2 #31	7.0 #19	14.2 #28

TEN scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEN scored	3.6 #24	3.8 #30	7.4 #31	1.9 #32	5.0 #26	6.9 #31
SEA allowed	3.9 #11	4.4 #3	8.3 #2	3.2 #2	7.8 #22	11.0 #12

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.