Seahawks @ Rams: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2025)

Sun, Nov 16, 2025, 4:05 PM ESTWeek 11 · at Los Angeles Rams · Division game

Weather at kickoff60°F3 mphgusts 13Wet0.0 mmWet Over 51% of 104 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Seattle Seahawks

7-2 · Power #1

final

Final

Los Angeles Rams

7-2 · Power #2

▲ winner

Closing spread

LAR -3.5

✓ SEA W

Total

49.5

▼ Under · 40 pts

Model before kickoff

SEA 22–25 LAR

✓ LAR (62%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenLAR -2.5

CloseLAR -3.5

Total48.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenLAR -2.5

1 → LAR

CloseLAR -3.5

1 pt toward Los Angeles Rams

Total

Open48.5

▲ 1

Close49.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened LAR -2.5 · closed LAR -3.5 · moved 1 toward LARmodel LAR -3

model LAR -3

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 66%, covered 55% (185 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 44% (45 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenLAR -2.5

CloseLAR -3.5

Total48.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like LAR as a 3.5-point home favorite against SEA, the favorite won 5, covered 3, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: LAR won 21–19; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 40 points stayed under 49.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 64%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 1.1 against an average line of 3.3; 47.3 points a game (usually 44.4). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	BAL vs PHI 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3.5	19–24	L	U51.5
Very close	PHI vs WSH 2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & season form	-4.5	26–18	W	U49.5
Very close	BUF vs KC 2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-2.5	30–21	W	O47.5
Very close	TB vs WSH 2024 · Postseason · very close · similar spread & rest	-3.5	20–23	L	U51.5
Very close	DET vs GB 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & situation	-3.5	34–31	L	O53.5
Close	GB vs HOU 2024 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-3.5	24–22	L	U47.5
Close	SF vs KC 2024 · Week 7 · close · similar team ratings & total	-2.5	18–28	L	U47.5
Close	TB vs NE 2025 · Week 10 · close · similar situation & total	-2.5	23–28	L	O48.5
Close	LAC vs WSH 2025 · Week 5 · close · similar spread & rest	-3.5	10–27	L	U48.5
Close	LAR vs IND 2025 · Week 4 · close · similar total & rest	-3.5	27–20	W	U49.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SEA LWWWW	7-2	78%	4-0	1-1
LAR LWWWW	7-2	78%	3-1	7-1

Venue/role: SEA away, as underdog; LAR home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SEA OUOOO	6-3	67%	7-2
LAR OUUUO	4-5	44%	7-2

Stayed under: it needed 24 in the 4th quarter and got 14. 51% of games with totals 46.5–52.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SEA	8-2 80%	7-3 70%	7-3 70%
LAR	7-3 70%	8-2 80%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 4 since 2023

SEA 28–24 LAR SEA leads · 52 games since 2000 · SEA has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Jan 5 2024	Seattle Seahawks 30 @ Los Angeles Rams 25	SEA -7.5	LAR W
Nov 3 2024	Los Angeles Rams 26 @ Seattle Seahawks 20	LAR -2	LAR W
Nov 19 2023	Seattle Seahawks 16 @ Los Angeles Rams 17	LAR -2	SEA W
Sep 10 2023	Los Angeles Rams 30 @ Seattle Seahawks 13	—	—

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SEA−0.1 →+3.6▲ 3.7#5

LAR+0.2 →+4.5▲ 4.3#2

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

SEA

Longer bar = better

LAR

Offense

Even

Defense

Even

−0.4 #24

Turnovers

LAR better ▶

+0.8 #4

57 plays #28

Pace

LAR faster ▶

64 plays #11

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SEA has the ball

Even matchup

	SEA off	LAR def	Edge
Points / game	30.6 #3	17.0 #2	Even
Yards / play	6.31 #2	4.92 #6	Even
EPA / play	+0.07 #10	−0.09 #3	LAR
Success rate	47% #8	43% #13	SEA

When LAR has the ball

Even matchup

	LAR off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	27.9 #5	19.1 #6	Even
Yards / play	5.86 #7	4.65 #4	Even
EPA / play	+0.14 #5	−0.06 #6	Even
Success rate	52% #1	42% #9	LAR

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

SEA scoring against the LAR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	8.6 #1	10.6 #2	19.1 #1	6.3 #7	5.1 #26	11.4 #20
LAR allowed	2.6 #2	5.9 #11	8.4 #4	3.0 #2	5.2 #7	8.2 #5

LAR scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LAR scored	6.1 #6	7.3 #13	13.4 #7	6.6 #6	7.9 #10	14.4 #6
SEA allowed	2.8 #3	4.9 #3	7.7 #2	3.6 #7	7.9 #22	11.4 #14

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.