Cardinals @ Seahawks: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2025)

Sun, Nov 9, 2025, 4:05 PM ESTWeek 10 · at Seattle Seahawks · Division game

Weather at kickoff59°F5 mphgusts 11DryWeather watch ›

Arizona Cardinals

3-5 · Power #25

final

Final

Seattle Seahawks

6-2 · Power #1

▲ winner

Closing spread

SEA -7.5

✓ SEA W

Total

44.5

▲ Over · 66 pts

Model before kickoff

ARI 19–26 SEA

✓ SEA (75%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenSEA -6.5

CloseSEA -7.5

Total44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenSEA -6.5

1 → SEA

CloseSEA -7.5

1 pt toward Seattle Seahawks

Total

Open44.5

no move

Close44.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened SEA -6.5 · closed SEA -7.5 · moved 1 toward SEAmodel SEA -5.5

model SEA -5.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 6.5–8.5 since 2023: won 73%, covered 48% (90 games)ⓘ

Crossed 7The team the line moved toward covered 25% (28 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenSEA -6.5

CloseSEA -7.5

Total44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SEA as a 7.5-point home favorite against ARI, the favorite won 10, covered 6, and 6 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: SEA won 44–22; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 66 points went over 44.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 72%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 43%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 57%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 13.4 against an average line of 6.6; 49.8 points a game (usually 46.5). Of the 6 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	PHI vs LAR 2024 · Postseason · very close · similar rest & spread	-7.5	28–22	L	O43.5
Very close	KC vs TB 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & rest	-8.5	30–24	L	O45.5
Very close	MIN vs CHI 2024 · Week 15 · very close · similar season form & situation	-6.5	30–12	W	U43.5
Very close	BAL vs PIT 2024 · Week 16 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7.5	34–17	W	O45.5
Very close	MIN vs ATL 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-5.5	42–21	W	O46.5
Very close	PHI vs PIT 2024 · Week 15 · very close · similar rest & situation	-5.5	27–13	W	U43.5
Very close	NE vs ATL 2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & rest	-5.5	24–23	L	O45.5
Very close	PIT vs CLE 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & situation	-6.5	27–14	W	U42.5
Close	PHI vs WSH 2024 · Postseason · close · similar situation & rest	-6.5	55–23	W	O47.5
Close	HOU vs CHI 2024 · Week 2 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-6.5	19–13	L	U45.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARI LLWWW	5-3	63%	4-0	4-1
SEA WLWWW	6-2	75%	2-2	5-1

Venue/role: ARI away, as underdog; SEA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARI UOOOU	4-4	50%	3-5
SEA UOUOO	5-3	63%	6-2

Went over in Q2. Of 202 earlier overs in games with totals 41.5–47.5, 22% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARI	4-6 40%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%
SEA	8-2 80%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

ARI 17–31 SEA (1 tied) SEA leads · 49 games since 2002 · SEA has won the last 10 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 25 2025	Seattle Seahawks 23 @ Arizona Cardinals 20	SEA -1.5	SEA W
Dec 8 2024	Seattle Seahawks 30 @ Arizona Cardinals 18	ARI -3.5	SEA W
Nov 24 2024	Arizona Cardinals 6 @ Seattle Seahawks 16	ARI -1.5	SEA W
Jan 7 2023	Seattle Seahawks 21 @ Arizona Cardinals 20	SEA -3	ARI W
Oct 22 2023	Arizona Cardinals 10 @ Seattle Seahawks 20	SEA -9.5	SEA W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ARI+0.1 →−0.1▼ 0.2#16

SEA−0.1 →+3.3▲ 3.4#6

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

ARI

Longer bar = better

SEA

#22

Offense

SEA better ▶

#17

Defense

SEA better ▶

+0.3 #13

Turnovers

◀ ARI better

−0.4 #20

63 plays #10

Pace

◀ ARI faster

57 plays #28

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ARI has the ball

Advantage: SEA defense

	ARI off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	22.5 #19	18.8 #5	SEA
Yards / play	4.96 #26	4.66 #3	SEA
EPA / play	+0.02 #19	−0.03 #9	SEA
Success rate	42% #25	42% #9	SEA

When SEA has the ball

Advantage: SEA offense

	SEA off	ARI def	Edge
Points / game	28.9 #5	21.4 #11	SEA
Yards / play	6.31 #2	5.23 #13	SEA
EPA / play	+0.07 #11	0.00 #17	SEA
Success rate	46% #12	47% #25	SEA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

ARI scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARI scored	5.4 #11	7.6 #12	13.0 #9	5.9 #9	3.6 #32	9.5 #27
SEA allowed	3.1 #5	4.6 #2	7.8 #2	3.0 #4	8.0 #22	11.0 #12

SEA scoring against the ARI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	7.0 #3	9.8 #2	16.8 #1	7.1 #5	5.0 #25	12.1 #14
ARI allowed	2.5 #3	5.8 #8	8.3 #3	2.8 #2	10.4 #29	13.1 #22

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.