Seahawks @ Cardinals: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2025)

Thu, Sep 25, 2025, 8:15 PM EDTWeek 4 · at Arizona Cardinals · Division game

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Seattle Seahawks

2-1 · Power #1

▲ winner

Final

Arizona Cardinals

2-1 · Power #25

final

Closing spread

SEA -1.5

✓ SEA W

Total

43.5

▼ Under · 43 pts

Model before kickoff

SEA 23–22 ARI

✓ SEA (54%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenARI -1.5

CloseSEA -1.5

Total44.5 → 43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenARI -1.5

3 → SEA

CloseSEA -1.5

3 pts toward Seattle Seahawks

Total

Open44.5

▼ 1

Close43.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ARI -1.5 · closed SEA -1.5 · moved 3 toward SEAmodel ARI -1.5

model ARI -1.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 0.5–2.5 since 2023: won 61%, covered 56% (71 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 42% (45 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenARI -1.5

CloseSEA -1.5

Total44.5 → 43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SEA as a 1.5-point road favorite at ARI, the favorite won 3, covered 3, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: SEA won 23–20; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 43 points stayed under 43.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 59%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 42%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 5.8 against an average line of 1.7; 44.4 points a game (usually 42.9). Of the 6 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	DEN @ NO 2024 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	33–10	W	O37.5
Close	GB @ MIN 2024 · Week 17 · close · similar spread	-0.5	25–27	L	O48.5
Close	ATL @ TB 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & situation	-0.5	31–26	W	O47.5
Loose	ARI @ SEA 2024 · Week 12 · loose · similar spread	-1.5	6–16	L	U46.5
Loose	LAC @ HOU 2024 · Postseason · loose · similar team ratings & rest	-2.5	12–32	L	O41.5
Loose	PIT @ IND 2024 · Week 4 · loose · similar situation & season form	-2.5	24–27	L	O40.5
Loose	SF @ MIA 2024 · Week 16 · loose · similar spread & total	-1.5	17–29	L	O44.5
Loose	MIN @ LAR 2024 · Postseason · loose	-2.5	9–27	L	U47.5
Loose	NYJ @ ARI 2024 · Week 10 · loose · similar spread	-1.5	6–31	L	U46.5
Loose	CIN @ NO 2022 · Week 6 · loose · similar team ratings & situation	-1	30–26	W	O43

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SEA LWW	2-1	67%	1-0	1-0
ARI WLW	2-1	67%	0-1	1-0

Venue/role: SEA away, as favorite; ARI home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SEA UOO	2-1	67%	2-1
ARI UOU	1-2	33%	2-1

Stayed under: it needed 21 in the 4th quarter and got 20. 50% of games with totals 40.5–46.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SEA	7-3 70%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
ARI	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 4 since 2023

SEA 31–17 ARI (1 tied) SEA leads · 49 games since 2002 · SEA has won the last 10 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 8 2024	Seattle Seahawks 30 @ Arizona Cardinals 18	ARI -3.5	SEA W
Nov 24 2024	Arizona Cardinals 6 @ Seattle Seahawks 16	ARI -1.5	SEA W
Jan 7 2023	Seattle Seahawks 21 @ Arizona Cardinals 20	SEA -3	ARI W
Oct 22 2023	Arizona Cardinals 10 @ Seattle Seahawks 20	SEA -9.5	SEA W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SEA−0.1 →+1.3▲ 1.4#13

ARI+0.1 →+0.1–#17

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

SEA

Longer bar = better

ARI

#11

Offense

◀ SEA better

#20

Defense

◀ SEA better

#14

0.0 #19

Turnovers

ARI better ▶

+0.7 #8

56 plays #26

Pace

ARI faster ▶

58 plays #22

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SEA has the ball

Even matchup

	SEA off	ARI def	Edge
Points / game	29.3 #5	17.0 #6	Even
Yards / play	5.63 #9	4.91 #12	Even
EPA / play	0.00 #19	−0.04 #14	ARI
Success rate	45% #12	47% #25	SEA

When ARI has the ball

Advantage: SEA defense

	ARI off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	20.7 #20	15.7 #2	SEA
Yards / play	4.79 #24	4.65 #7	SEA
EPA / play	+0.05 #13	−0.05 #11	Even
Success rate	41% #23	43% #13	SEA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

SEA scoring against the ARI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	9.3 #1	9.0 #7	18.3 #2	4.3 #13	6.7 #14	11.0 #12
ARI allowed	1.0 #3	5.3 #9	6.3 #3	2.0 #4	8.7 #22	10.7 #14

ARI scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARI scored	4.3 #16	9.0 #7	13.3 #12	4.3 #13	3.0 #32	7.3 #31
SEA allowed	4.3 #14	4.7 #6	9.0 #9	0.0 #1	6.7 #15	6.7 #4

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.