Giants @ Lions: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2025)

Sun, Nov 23, 2025, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Detroit Lions

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

New York Giants

2-9 · Power #22

final

Final

Detroit Lions

6-4 · Power #6

▲ winner

Closing spread

DET -14.5

✓ NYG W

Total

50.5

▲ Over · 61 pts

Model before kickoff

NYG 16–31 DET

✓ DET (91%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenDET -11.5

CloseDET -14.5

Total50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenDET -11.5

3 → DET

CloseDET -14.5

3 pts toward Detroit Lions

Total

Open50.5

no move

Close50.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened DET -11.5 · closed DET -14.5 · moved 3 toward DETmodel DET -17

model DET -17

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 51% (57 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenDET -11.5

CloseDET -14.5

Total50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like DET as a 14.5-point home favorite against NYG, the favorite won 9, covered 5, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: DET won 34–27; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 61 points went over 50.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 91%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 39%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 18.2 against an average line of 13.9; 41 points a game (usually 43.6). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	DET vs JAX 2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & rest	-14.5	52–6	W	O47.5
Close	BUF vs NE 2024 · Week 16 · close · similar rest & season form	-14.5	24–21	L	U47.5
Close	BUF vs NO 2025 · Week 4 · close · similar team ratings & total	-14.5	31–19	L	O48.5
Close	KC vs LV 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & spread	-13.5	31–0	W	U45.5
Close	GB vs CAR 2025 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & season form	-13.5	13–16	L	U43.5
Loose	PHI vs CAR 2024 · Week 14 · loose · similar rest	-13.5	22–16	L	U44.5
Loose	GB vs NO 2024 · Week 16 · loose · similar rest & season form	-14.5	34–0	W	U43.5
Loose	TB vs NO 2024 · Week 18 · loose · similar rest & season form	-14.5	27–19	L	O44.5
Loose	KC vs WSH 2025 · Week 8 · loose · similar rest & total	-11.5	28–7	W	U48.5
Loose	LAR vs NO 2025 · Week 9 · loose · similar season form	-14.5	34–10	W	U45.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NYG WLLWW	6-5	55%	3-3	6-5
DET LWLWL	6-4	60%	3-1	5-1

Venue/role: NYG away, as underdog; DET home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NYG OOOUO	6-5	55%	2-9
DET UUOOU	5-5	50%	6-4

Went over in Q4. Of 81 earlier overs in games with totals 47.5–53.5, 26% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NYG	2-8 20%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%
DET	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

NYG 4–7 DET DET leads · 11 games since 2000 · DET has won the last 4 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NYG−2.6 →−3.0▼ 0.4#26

DET+2.8 →+5.2▲ 2.4#1

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

NYG

Longer bar = better

DET

#22

Offense

DET better ▶

#29

Defense

DET better ▶

−0.5 #27

Turnovers

DET better ▶

+0.5 #8

64 plays #5

Pace

◀ NYG faster

61 plays #18

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NYG has the ball

Advantage: DET defense

	NYG off	DET def	Edge
Points / game	21.5 #23	21.6 #10	DET
Yards / play	5.18 #20	4.90 #6	DET
EPA / play	0.00 #18	−0.08 #5	DET
Success rate	42% #26	40% #4	DET

When DET has the ball

Advantage: DET offense

	DET off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	29.2 #4	27.3 #29	DET
Yards / play	5.98 #4	5.88 #28	DET
EPA / play	+0.10 #8	+0.13 #30	DET
Success rate	46% #10	48% #27	DET

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

NYG scoring against the DET defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	5.5 #10	5.5 #26	11.1 #18	3.6 #22	6.8 #19	10.5 #23
DET allowed	5.7 #26	5.4 #7	11.1 #16	3.6 #8	6.9 #18	10.5 #11

DET scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DET scored	6.6 #4	8.2 #7	14.8 #5	5.4 #12	9.0 #4	14.4 #5
NYG allowed	4.0 #12	8.2 #24	12.2 #21	3.6 #10	11.2 #32	14.8 #31

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.