Giants @ Patriots: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2025)

Mon, Dec 1, 2025, 8:15 PM ESTWeek 13 · at New England Patriots

Weather at kickoff31°F6 mphgusts 11DryCold Over 55% of 98 games since 2023Weather watch ›

New York Giants

2-10 · Power #22

final

Final

New England Patriots

10-2 · Power #5

▲ winner

Closing spread

NE -7

✓ NE W

Total

46.5

▲ Over · 48 pts

Model before kickoff

NYG 20–27 NE

✓ NE (74%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenNE -7

CloseNE -7

Total46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenNE -7

no move

CloseNE -7

No change since the open

Total

Open46.5

no move

Close46.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened NE -7 · unchangedmodel NE -6.5

model NE -6.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 6–8 since 2023: won 74%, covered 51% (92 games)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenNE -7

CloseNE -7

Total46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like NE as a 7-point home favorite against NYG, the favorite won 9, covered 7, and 6 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: NE won 33–15; the favorite covered, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 48 points went over 46.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 72%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 55%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 13.1 against an average line of 6.7; 50.5 points a game (usually 46.4). Of the 6 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	PHI vs JAX 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7.5	28–23	L	O46.5
Very close	MIN vs CHI 2024 · Week 15 · very close · similar rest & spread	-6.5	30–12	W	U43.5
Very close	MIN vs ATL 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar total & rest	-5.5	42–21	W	O46.5
Very close	NE vs ATL 2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & rest	-5.5	24–23	L	O45.5
Very close	WSH vs TEN 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & rest	-5.5	42–19	W	O45.5
Very close	SF vs CAR 2025 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7	20–9	W	U48.5
Very close	PHI vs NYG 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7.5	38–20	W	O43.5
Very close	SEA vs ARI 2025 · Week 10 · very close · similar situation & total	-7.5	44–22	W	O44.5
Very close	SF vs ARI 2024 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7.5	23–24	L	U48.5
Very close	PIT vs CLE 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar situation & season form	-6.5	27–14	W	U42.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NYG LLWWW	7-5	58%	4-3	7-5
NE WLWWL	8-4	67%	3-3	5-3

Venue/role: NYG away, as underdog; NE home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NYG OOUOO	7-5	58%	2-10
NE OOOUU	6-6	50%	10-2

Went over in Q4. Of 185 earlier overs in games with totals 43.5–49.5, 22% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NYG	2-8 20%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%
NE	9-1 90%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

NYG 4–6 NE NE leads · 10 games since 1999 · NE has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 26 2023	New England Patriots 7 @ New York Giants 10	NE -4.5	NYG W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NYG−2.6 →−2.6–#25

NE−2.3 →+1.4▲ 3.7#12

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

NYG

Longer bar = better

#20

Offense

NE better ▶

#30

Defense

NE better ▶

#13

−0.5 #29

Turnovers

NE better ▶

0.0 #16

65 plays #4

Pace

◀ NYG faster

62 plays #15

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NYG has the ball

Advantage: NE defense

	NYG off	NE def	Edge
Points / game	22.0 #21	18.8 #6	NE
Yards / play	5.33 #17	5.30 #16	Even
EPA / play	+0.02 #15	−0.05 #8	NE
Success rate	42% #26	45% #21	NE

When NE has the ball

Advantage: NE offense

	NE off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	26.5 #7	27.8 #30	NE
Yards / play	5.83 #7	6.02 #29	NE
EPA / play	+0.10 #7	+0.13 #30	NE
Success rate	46% #11	48% #29	NE

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

NYG scoring against the NE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	5.9 #6	5.9 #25	11.8 #12	3.3 #23	6.8 #14	10.2 #24
NE allowed	5.6 #26	4.8 #3	10.3 #15	3.0 #2	5.5 #9	8.5 #6

NE scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NE scored	5.3 #10	9.8 #3	15.0 #5	6.7 #5	4.8 #27	11.5 #19
NYG allowed	3.7 #7	8.9 #28	12.6 #22	3.3 #5	11.1 #32	14.4 #29

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.