Giants @ Eagles: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2025)

Sun, Oct 26, 2025, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 8 · at Philadelphia Eagles · Division game

Weather at kickoff61°F4 mphgusts 13DryWeather watch ›

New York Giants

2-5 · Power #22

final

Final

Philadelphia Eagles

5-2 · Power #9

▲ winner

Closing spread

PHI -7.5

✓ PHI W

Total

43.5

▲ Over · 58 pts

Model before kickoff

NYG 19–27 PHI

✓ PHI (75%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenPHI -7.5

ClosePHI -7.5

Total43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenPHI -7.5

no move

ClosePHI -7.5

No change since the open

Total

Open43.5

no move

Close43.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened PHI -7.5 · unchangedmodel PHI -8

model PHI -8

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 6.5–8.5 since 2023: won 74%, covered 47% (87 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenPHI -7.5

ClosePHI -7.5

Total43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like PHI as a 7.5-point home favorite against NYG, the favorite won 8, covered 5, and 8 went over the total.

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This game: PHI won 38–20; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 58 points went over 43.5, as in 8 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 72%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 43%

Went over

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 57%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 10 against an average line of 7.1; 55.8 points a game (usually 46.5). Of the 8 overs, 3 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	MIA vs NE 2024 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7.5	34–15	W	O45.5
Very close	CIN vs WSH 2024 · Week 3 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7.5	33–38	L	O46.5
Very close	HOU vs TEN 2024 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-7.5	27–32	L	O40.5
Very close	PHI vs JAX 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & spread	-7.5	28–23	L	O46.5
Very close	CIN vs LV 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7.5	41–24	W	O44.5
Very close	MIN vs CHI 2024 · Week 15 · very close · similar rest & total	-6.5	30–12	W	U43.5
Very close	MIA vs NYJ 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar situation & spread	-6.5	32–26	L	O45.5
Very close	PIT vs CLE 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-6.5	27–14	W	U42.5
Very close	SEA vs NO 2025 · Week 3 · very close · similar rest & situation	-6.5	44–13	W	O41.5
Close	DEN vs NYG 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & situation	-7.5	33–32	L	O40.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NYG LWLWW	4-3	57%	2-2	4-3
PHI WWLLW	4-3	57%	1-2	4-3

Venue/role: NYG away, as underdog; PHI home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NYG UUUOO	3-4	43%	2-5
PHI OOUOO	4-3	57%	5-2

Went over in Q4. Of 182 earlier overs in games with totals 40.5–46.5, 22% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NYG	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%
PHI	8-2 80%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

NYG 20–38 PHI PHI leads · 58 games since 1999 · PHI has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 9 2025	Philadelphia Eagles 17 @ New York Giants 34	PHI -7.5	NYG W
Jan 5 2024	New York Giants 13 @ Philadelphia Eagles 20	PHI -2.5	PHI W
Oct 20 2024	Philadelphia Eagles 28 @ New York Giants 3	PHI -3.5	PHI W
Jan 7 2023	Philadelphia Eagles 10 @ New York Giants 27	PHI -5	NYG W
Dec 25 2023	New York Giants 25 @ Philadelphia Eagles 33	PHI -14	NYG W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NYG−2.6 →−2.5▲ 0.1#26

PHI+3.2 →+2.0▼ 1.2#9

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

NYG

Longer bar = better

PHI

#23

Offense

PHI better ▶

#18

#24

Defense

PHI better ▶

#19

−0.6 #26

Turnovers

PHI better ▶

+0.6 #9

66 plays #2

Pace

◀ NYG faster

57 plays #27

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NYG has the ball

Even matchup

	NYG off	PHI def	Edge
Points / game	21.9 #20	23.6 #20	Even
Yards / play	5.09 #22	5.42 #20	Even
EPA / play	−0.05 #25	−0.01 #15	PHI
Success rate	41% #26	46% #22	Even

When PHI has the ball

Advantage: PHI offense

	PHI off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	24.3 #14	25.3 #23	PHI
Yards / play	5.01 #24	5.66 #26	Even
EPA / play	+0.04 #14	+0.06 #26	PHI
Success rate	43% #21	46% #21	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

NYG scoring against the PHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	5.7 #11	6.0 #19	11.7 #13	3.9 #22	6.3 #18	10.1 #23
PHI allowed	5.6 #23	6.4 #17	12.0 #19	5.4 #22	6.1 #15	11.6 #15

PHI scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PHI scored	7.9 #1	6.9 #14	14.7 #5	5.9 #10	3.7 #32	9.6 #24
NYG allowed	3.3 #7	7.6 #22	10.9 #17	3.6 #8	10.4 #29	14.0 #26

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.