Eagles @ Giants: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2025)

Thu, Oct 9, 2025, 8:15 PM EDTWeek 6 · at New York Giants · Division game

Weather at kickoff52°F6 mphgusts 13DryWeather watch ›

Philadelphia Eagles

4-1 · Power #9

final

Final

New York Giants

1-4 · Power #22

▲ winner

Closing spread

PHI -7.5

✓ NYG W

Total

41.5

▲ Over · 51 pts

Model before kickoff

PHI 25–18 NYG

✗ PHI (75%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenPHI -7.5

ClosePHI -7.5

Total42.5 → 41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenPHI -7.5

no move

ClosePHI -7.5

No change since the open

Total

Open42.5

▼ 1

Close41.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened PHI -7.5 · unchangedmodel PHI -6.5

model PHI -6.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 5.5–9.5 since 2023: won 72%, covered 46% (57 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenPHI -7.5

ClosePHI -7.5

Total42.5 → 41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like PHI as a 7.5-point road favorite at NYG, the favorite won 7, covered 6, and 8 went over the total.

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This game: NYG won 34–17 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 51 points went over 41.5, as in 8 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 71%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 42%

Went over

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 57%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 12.2 against an average line of 6.8; 51 points a game (usually 46.8). Of the 8 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	KC @ LV 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar season form & situation	-8.5	27–20	L	O42.5
Very close	NYJ @ NE 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & spread	-7.5	22–25	L	O41.5
Very close	IND @ NYG 2024 · Week 17 · very close · similar spread & total	-7.5	33–45	L	O40.5
Very close	LAR @ TEN 2025 · Week 2 · very close · similar season form & team ratings	-5.5	33–19	W	O40.5
Very close	LAC @ NE 2024 · Week 17 · very close · similar total & season form	-5.5	40–7	W	O41.5
Very close	HOU @ NE 2024 · Week 6 · very close · similar situation & team ratings	-6.5	41–21	W	O39.5
Close	LAC @ NYG 2025 · Week 4 · close · similar team ratings & situation	-5.5	18–21	L	U43.5
Close	LAC @ LV 2024 · Week 18 · close · similar season form & total	-6.5	34–20	W	O41.5
Close	PHI @ DAL 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar season form & spread	-7.5	34–6	W	U44.5
Close	HOU @ DAL 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar total & spread	-7.5	34–10	W	O41.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PHI LWWWL	3-2	60%	2-0	3-2
NYG LWLWL	2-3	40%	1-1	2-3

Venue/role: PHI away, as favorite; NYG home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
PHI UUOOU	2-3	40%	4-1
NYG UOUUU	1-4	20%	1-4

Went over in Q3. Of 145 earlier overs in games with totals 38.5–44.5, 24% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PHI	9-1 90%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%
NYG	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 4 since 2023

PHI 38–20 NYG PHI leads · 58 games since 1999 · PHI has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Jan 5 2024	New York Giants 13 @ Philadelphia Eagles 20	PHI -2.5	PHI W
Oct 20 2024	Philadelphia Eagles 28 @ New York Giants 3	PHI -3.5	PHI W
Jan 7 2023	Philadelphia Eagles 10 @ New York Giants 27	PHI -5	NYG W
Dec 25 2023	New York Giants 25 @ Philadelphia Eagles 33	PHI -14	NYG W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

PHI+3.2 →+2.4▼ 0.8#8

NYG−2.6 →−3.7▼ 1.1#31

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

PHI

Longer bar = better

NYG

#21

Offense

◀ PHI better

#27

#14

Defense

◀ PHI better

#24

+0.8 #8

Turnovers

◀ PHI better

−1.0 #30

59 plays #23

Pace

NYG faster ▶

65 plays #6

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When PHI has the ball

Even matchup

	PHI off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	25.0 #14	25.4 #22	PHI
Yards / play	4.42 #29	5.66 #23	NYG
EPA / play	+0.02 #19	+0.08 #26	PHI
Success rate	43% #22	47% #25	Even

When NYG has the ball

Advantage: PHI defense

	NYG off	PHI def	Edge
Points / game	17.4 #28	21.8 #16	PHI
Yards / play	4.90 #25	5.33 #16	PHI
EPA / play	−0.14 #29	−0.04 #7	PHI
Success rate	41% #26	44% #17	PHI

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

PHI scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PHI scored	7.6 #2	6.8 #16	14.4 #6	6.8 #4	3.8 #31	10.6 #20
NYG allowed	2.6 #5	9.2 #25	11.8 #22	5.0 #20	8.0 #18	13.0 #22

NYG scoring against the PHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	4.0 #18	5.8 #21	9.8 #24	2.8 #28	4.8 #28	7.6 #31
PHI allowed	4.6 #17	7.0 #19	11.6 #21	4.2 #13	6.0 #12	10.2 #8

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.