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NFL · 2025

NFL Week 6 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 6: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
15 finalFavorites 7-8 ATS4 upsetsO/U 7-8Model Favorite 11-4Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1515 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS7-847% covered
Upsets4outright
Over / Under7-847% over
Model Favorite11-473% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up3 all 3 final
Over1 33%Under2 67%
Moved down4 all 4 final
Over3 75%Under1 25%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
9–469%
94–9849%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
3–175%
43–4350%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
1–150%
21–2744%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
—
7–750%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
1–325%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Oct 9

1
Final · Division
Philadelphia Eagles
4-1 · #9
17
New York Giants
1-4 · #22
34
Spread
PHI -7.5
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼1
▲ Over 51 · Q3
Projected
25–18
✗ PHI lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: NYG by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Oct 12

12
Final · Neutral
Denver Broncos
3-2 · #8
13
New York Jets
0-5 · #32
11
Spread
DEN -6.5
✓ NYJ W ATS
Total
43.5
▼ Under 24
Projected
26–19
✓ DEN won
Trend: NYJ ATS ✓ Model: NYJ by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Arizona Cardinals
2-3 · #25
27
Indianapolis Colts
4-1 · #13
31
Spread
IND -8.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
46.5
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
19–27
✓ IND won
Trend: IND ATS ✗ Model: ARI by 6 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Los Angeles Chargers
3-2 · #15
29
Miami Dolphins
1-4 · #28
27
Spread
LAC -3.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
45.5
▲ Over 56 · Q4
Projected
24–21
✓ LAC won
Model: MIA by 1 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
New England Patriots
3-2 · #5
25
New Orleans Saints
1-4 · #23
19
Spread
NE -3.5
✓ NE W ATS
Total
46.5
▼ Under 44
Projected
24–21
✓ NE won
Trend: NE ATS ✓ Model: NO by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Cleveland Browns
1-4 · #29
9
Pittsburgh Steelers
3-1 · #19
23
Spread
PIT -6.5
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
37.5 ▼1
▼ Under 32
Projected
17–23
✓ PIT won
Trend: PIT ATS ✓ Model: CLE by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Dallas Cowboys
2-2-1 · #21
27
Carolina Panthers
2-3 · #26
30
Spread
DAL -2.5
✓ CAR W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼3
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
25–22
✗ DAL lost
Trend: Under ✗Trend: CAR ATS ✓ Model: DAL by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Seattle Seahawks
3-2 · #1
20
Jacksonville Jaguars
4-1 · #7
12
Spread
SEA -1.5
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲3
▼ Under 32
Projected
24–22
✓ SEA won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: SEA by 1 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Los Angeles Rams
3-2 · #2
17
Baltimore Ravens
1-4 · #14
3
Spread
LAR -6.5
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 20
Projected
26–20
✓ LAR won
Trend: LAR ATS ✓ Model: BAL by 0 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Tennessee Titans
1-4 · #31
10
Las Vegas Raiders
1-4 · #30
20
Spread
LV -4.5
✓ LV W ATS
Total
41.5
▼ Under 30
Projected
19–24
✓ LV won
Trend: TEN ATS ✗ Model: TEN by 0 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Cincinnati Bengals
2-3 · #24
18
Green Bay Packers
2-1-1 · #11
27
Spread
GB -13.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲1
▲ Over 45 · Q4
Projected
16–29
✓ GB won
Trend: GB ATS ✗ Model: CIN by 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
San Francisco 49ers
4-1 · #10
19
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
4-1 · #18
30
Spread
TB -3.5
✓ TB W ATS
Total
46.5
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
22–26
✓ TB won
Trend: SF ATS ✗ Model: SF by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Detroit Lions
4-1 · #6
17
Kansas City Chiefs
2-3 · #12
30
Spread
KC -2.5
✓ KC W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲3
▼ Under 47
Projected
23–25
✓ KC won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: DET by 5 ✗ Model: Under 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Oct 13

2
Final · Non-conf
Buffalo Bills
4-1 · #4
14
Atlanta Falcons
2-2 · #20
24
Spread
BUF -3.5
✓ ATL W ATS
Total
49.5
▼ Under 38
Projected
26–22
✗ BUF lost
Trend: ATL ATS ✓ Model: BUF by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Chicago Bears
2-2 · #16
25
Washington Commanders
3-2 · #27
24
Spread
WSH -5.5
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼1
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
20–26
✗ WSH lost
Trend: WSH ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: WSH by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total