Week in numbers
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Upsets0outright
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
| Moved toward | This week | 2025 | 2024–2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Any move | 1–0100% | 94–9849% | 229–252–448% |
| 1.5+ pts | — | 43–4350% | 116–117–250% |
| 3+ pts | — | 21–2744% | 56–58–149% |
| 5+ pts | — | 7–750% | 17–1652% |
| 7+ pts | — | 1–325% | 2–722% |
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Saturday, Jan 17
2Final · AFC Divisional Playoffs
Spread
DEN -1.5
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
23–24
✓ DEN won
Final · NFC Divisional Playoffs
Spread
SEA -7
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼2
▲ Over 47 · Q4
Projected
20–26
✓ SEA won
Sunday, Jan 18
2Final · AFC Divisional Playoffs
Spread
NE -3
✓ NE W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼1
▲ Over 44 · Q4
Projected
20–23
✓ NE won
Final · NFC Divisional Playoffs
Spread
LAR -3.5
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼2
▼ Under 37
Projected
27–23
✓ LAR won
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| Status | Matchup | Spread | Move | Total | Model | Signal | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading… | |||||||
Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total