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NFL · 2025

NFL Week 13 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 13: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
16 finalFavorites 6-7 ATS5 upsetsO/U 7-9Model Favorite 9-7Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS6-746% covered
Upsets5outright
Over / Under7-944% over
Model Favorite9-756% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up5 all 5 final
Over1 20%Under4 80%
Moved down6 all 6 final
Over3 50%Under3 50%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
2–433%
94–9849%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
1–150%
43–4350%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
—
21–2744%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
—
7–750%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
1–325%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Nov 27

3
Final · Division
Green Bay Packers
7-3-1 · #11
31
Detroit Lions
7-4 · #6
24
Spread
—
 
Total
48.5
▲ Over 55 · Q3
Projected
22–25
✗ DET lost
Model: Under 1 ✗
Final · Non-conf
Kansas City Chiefs
6-5 · #12
28
Dallas Cowboys
5-5-1 · #21
31
Spread
—
 
Total
53.5 ▲2
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
27–23
✗ KC lost
Trend: Over ✓ Model: Under 3 ✗
Final · Division
Cincinnati Bengals
3-8 · #24
32
Baltimore Ravens
6-5 · #14
14
Spread
BAL -7
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
52.5
▼ Under 46
Projected
22–30
✗ BAL lost
Trend: BAL ATS ✗ Model: BAL by 5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Friday, Nov 28

1
Final · Non-conf
Chicago Bears
8-3 · #16
24
Philadelphia Eagles
8-3 · #9
15
Spread
PHI -7
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
43.5
▼ Under 39
Projected
17–24
✗ PHI lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: CHI by 1 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Nov 30

11
Final · Non-conf
San Francisco 49ers
8-4 · #10
26
Cleveland Browns
3-8 · #29
8
Spread
SF -5.5
✓ SF W ATS
Total
35.5 ▼4
▼ Under 34
Projected
20–14
✓ SF won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: SF by 0 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Division
Jacksonville Jaguars
7-4 · #7
25
Tennessee Titans
1-10 · #31
3
Spread
JAX -6
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
42.5 ▲1
▼ Under 28
Projected
25–19
✓ JAX won
Trend: JAX ATS ✓ Model: JAX by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
Houston Texans
6-5 · #3
20
Indianapolis Colts
8-3 · #13
16
Spread
IND -3.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼3
▼ Under 36
Projected
21–25
✗ IND lost
Trend: IND ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: HOU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
New Orleans Saints
2-9 · #23
17
Miami Dolphins
4-7 · #28
21
Spread
—
 
Total
42.5 ▲1
▼ Under 38
Projected
18–23
✓ MIA won
Model: Under 2 ✓
Final · Non-conf
Atlanta Falcons
4-7 · #20
24
New York Jets
2-9 · #32
27
Spread
ATL -3
✓ NYJ W ATS
Total
38.5
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
23–20
✗ ATL lost
Trend: NYJ ATS ✓ Model: NYJ by 2 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Arizona Cardinals
3-8 · #25
17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
6-5 · #18
20
Spread
TB -4.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
45.5 ▲1
▼ Under 37
Projected
22–26
✓ TB won
Trend: ARI ATS ✓ Model: ARI by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Los Angeles Rams
9-2 · #2
28
Carolina Panthers
6-6 · #26
31
Spread
LAR -10
✓ CAR W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼1
▲ Over 59 · Q3
Projected
27–17
✗ LAR lost
Trend: LAR ATS ✗ Model: LAR by 0 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Minnesota Vikings
4-7 · #17
0
Seattle Seahawks
8-3 · #1
26
Spread
SEA -12.5
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
42.5 ▲1
▼ Under 26
Projected
15–27
✓ SEA won
Trend: SEA ATS ✓ Model: SEA by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Buffalo Bills
7-4 · #4
26
Pittsburgh Steelers
6-5 · #19
7
Spread
BUF -3
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼2
▼ Under 33
Projected
25–22
✓ BUF won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: BUF by 3 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Division
Las Vegas Raiders
2-9 · #30
14
Los Angeles Chargers
7-4 · #15
31
Spread
LAC -9.5
✓ LAC W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼1
▲ Over 45 · Q4
Projected
16–26
✓ LAC won
Model: LAC by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Denver Broncos
9-2 · #8
27
Washington Commanders
3-8 · #27
26
Spread
DEN -6.5
✓ WSH W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼1
▲ Over 53 · OT
Projected
26–20
✓ DEN won
Trend: DEN ATS ✗ Model: WSH by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Dec 1

1
Final · Non-conf
New York Giants
2-10 · #22
15
New England Patriots
10-2 · #5
33
Spread
NE -7
✓ NE W ATS
Total
46.5
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
20–27
✓ NE won
Model: NYG by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total