Raiders @ Chargers: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2025)

Sun, Nov 30, 2025, 4:25 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Los Angeles Chargers · Division game

Weather at kickoff63°F3 mphgusts 11DryWeather watch ›

Las Vegas Raiders

2-9 · Power #30

final

Final

Los Angeles Chargers

7-4 · Power #15

▲ winner

Closing spread

LAC -9.5

✓ LAC W

Total

40.5

▲ Over · 45 pts

Model before kickoff

LV 16–26 LAC

✓ LAC (81%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenLAC -9.5

CloseLAC -9.5

Total41.5 → 40.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenLAC -9.5

no move

CloseLAC -9.5

No change since the open

Total

Open41.5

▼ 1

Close40.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened LAC -9.5 · unchangedmodel LAC -10

model LAC -10

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 7.5–11.5 since 2023: won 74%, covered 46% (80 games)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenLAC -9.5

CloseLAC -9.5

Total41.5 → 40.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like LAC as a 9.5-point home favorite against LV, the favorite won 6, covered 4, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: LAC won 31–14; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 45 points went over 40.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 81%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 45%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 55%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 7.5 against an average line of 8.7; 45.7 points a game (usually 46.4). Of the 7 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	PHI vs CLE 2024 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & season form	-8.5	20–16	L	U42.5
Close	DEN vs LV 2025 · Week 10 · close · similar situation & total	-9.5	10–7	L	U41.5
Close	HOU vs TEN 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar total & season form	-7.5	27–32	L	O40.5
Close	ATL vs NYG 2024 · Week 16 · close · similar spread & season form	-9.5	34–7	W	U43.5
Close	ARI vs TEN 2025 · Week 5 · close · similar total	-7.5	21–22	L	O41.5
Close	SF vs NE 2024 · Week 4 · close · similar spread & team ratings	-10.5	30–13	W	O41.5
Close	BAL vs LV 2024 · Week 2 · close · similar total & spread	-8.5	23–26	L	O42.5
Close	GB vs CHI 2024 · Week 18 · close · similar situation & spread	-10.5	22–24	L	O41.5
Close	PHI vs NYG 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar situation	-7.5	38–20	W	O43.5
Close	CIN vs LV 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar season form & situation	-7.5	41–24	W	O44.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LV LWWLL	4-7	36%	2-3	3-5
LAC LWLWL	5-6	45%	3-2	4-6

Venue/role: LV away, as underdog; LAC home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LV UOUOU	4-7	36%	2-9
LAC OOOUU	5-6	45%	7-4

Went over in Q4. Of 147 earlier overs in games with totals 37.5–43.5, 27% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LV	1-9 10%	3-7 30%	4-6 40%
LAC	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

LV 22–33 LAC LAC leads · 55 games since 1999 · LV has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 15 2025	Los Angeles Chargers 20 @ Las Vegas Raiders 9	LAC -3.5	LAC W
Jan 5 2024	Los Angeles Chargers 34 @ Las Vegas Raiders 20	LAC -6.5	LAC W
Sep 8 2024	Las Vegas Raiders 10 @ Los Angeles Chargers 22	LAC -3	LAC W
Dec 14 2023	Los Angeles Chargers 21 @ Las Vegas Raiders 63	LV -3	LV W
Oct 1 2023	Las Vegas Raiders 17 @ Los Angeles Chargers 24	LAC -6.5	LAC W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LV−2.0 →−5.1▼ 3.1#31

LAC+0.5 →+1.1▲ 0.6#14

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

Longer bar = better

LAC

#31

Offense

LAC better ▶

#16

#19

Defense

LAC better ▶

−0.3 #21

Turnovers

LAC better ▶

−0.1 #16

59 plays #24

Pace

LAC faster ▶

64 plays #8

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LV has the ball

Advantage: LAC defense

	LV off	LAC def	Edge
Points / game	15.0 #32	21.6 #10	LAC
Yards / play	4.59 #30	5.08 #8	LAC
EPA / play	−0.19 #32	−0.04 #9	LAC
Success rate	39% #30	42% #7	LAC

When LAC has the ball

Even matchup

	LAC off	LV def	Edge
Points / game	22.4 #20	25.2 #23	Even
Yards / play	5.42 #14	5.20 #12	Even
EPA / play	0.00 #17	+0.02 #23	LAC
Success rate	45% #12	45% #19	LAC

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

LV scoring against the LAC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LV scored	3.5 #25	3.3 #31	6.8 #31	2.5 #31	5.2 #25	7.6 #29
LAC allowed	4.3 #15	6.2 #12	10.5 #15	5.7 #26	5.5 #8	11.2 #15

LAC scoring against the LV defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LAC scored	5.3 #9	6.6 #20	11.9 #11	5.0 #13	5.5 #23	10.5 #23
LV allowed	4.6 #21	8.5 #26	13.2 #23	6.4 #29	5.0 #5	11.4 #16

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.