Eagles @ Chargers: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2025)

Mon, Dec 8, 2025, 8:15 PM ESTWeek 14 · at Los Angeles Chargers

Weather at kickoff65°F4 mphDryWeather watch ›

Philadelphia Eagles

8-4 · Power #9

final

Final

Los Angeles Chargers

8-4 · Power #15

▲ winner

Closing spread

PHI -1.5

✓ LAC W

Total

41.5

▼ Under · 41 pts

Model before kickoff

PHI 22–21 LAC

✗ PHI (55%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenPHI -1.5

ClosePHI -1.5

Total42.5 → 41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenPHI -1.5

no move

ClosePHI -1.5

No change since the open

Total

Open42.5

▼ 1

Close41.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened PHI -1.5 · unchangedmodel PHI -1

model PHI -1

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 0.5–2.5 since 2023: won 59%, covered 55% (91 games)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenPHI -1.5

ClosePHI -1.5

Total42.5 → 41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like PHI as a 1.5-point road favorite at LAC, the favorite won 7, covered 7, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: LAC won 22–19 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 41 points stayed under 41.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 58%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 45%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 1 against an average line of 2.6; 45.6 points a game (usually 43.4). Of the 6 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	LAC @ JAX 2025 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & season form	-2.5	6–35	L	U42.5
Very close	LAC @ HOU 2024 · Postseason · very close · similar team ratings & spread	-2.5	12–32	L	O41.5
Very close	MIN @ CHI 2024 · Week 12 · very close · similar situation & total	-2.5	30–27	W	O39.5
Very close	GB @ PIT 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar season form & situation	-2.5	35–25	W	O45.5
Close	JAX @ ARI 2025 · Week 12 · close · similar situation & spread	-1.5	27–24	W	O46.5
Close	PHI @ TB 2025 · Week 4 · close · similar season form & team ratings	-3.5	31–25	W	O43.5
Close	LAR @ NYJ 2024 · Week 16 · close · similar situation & rest	-2.5	19–9	W	U46.5
Close	PHI @ MIN 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar team ratings & season form	-2.5	28–22	W	O44.5
Close	BUF @ PIT 2025 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & season form	-3	26–7	W	U44.5
Close	MIN @ LAR 2024 · Postseason · close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	9–27	L	U47.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PHI WWWLL	7-5	58%	4-2	6-5
LAC WLWLW	6-6	50%	4-2	1-0

Venue/role: PHI away, as favorite; LAC home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
PHI OUUUU	5-7	42%	8-4
LAC OOUUO	6-6	50%	8-4

Stayed under: it needed 20 in the 4th quarter and got 19. 52% of games with totals 38.5–44.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PHI	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%
LAC	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

PHI 3–4 LAC LAC leads · 7 games since 2001 · LAC has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

PHI+3.2 →+1.8▼ 1.4#11

LAC+0.5 →+1.4▲ 0.9#13

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

PHI

Longer bar = better

LAC

#18

Offense

LAC better ▶

#15

#13

Defense

LAC better ▶

+0.4 #8

Turnovers

◀ PHI better

−0.1 #19

58 plays #28

Pace

LAC faster ▶

64 plays #8

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When PHI has the ball

Advantage: LAC defense

	PHI off	LAC def	Edge
Points / game	22.5 #19	21.0 #11	LAC
Yards / play	5.25 #19	4.97 #8	LAC
EPA / play	+0.03 #13	−0.06 #7	LAC
Success rate	43% #22	42% #7	LAC

When LAC has the ball

Even matchup

	LAC off	PHI def	Edge
Points / game	23.1 #17	20.8 #9	PHI
Yards / play	5.39 #14	5.34 #17	Even
EPA / play	+0.01 #14	−0.04 #10	Even
Success rate	45% #13	44% #14	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

PHI scoring against the LAC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PHI scored	6.6 #4	6.8 #17	13.4 #7	4.4 #20	4.7 #31	9.1 #27
LAC allowed	3.9 #9	6.3 #14	10.2 #14	5.3 #24	5.6 #9	10.8 #11

LAC scoring against the PHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LAC scored	5.4 #10	6.1 #23	11.5 #15	5.8 #8	5.8 #21	11.6 #15
PHI allowed	4.4 #18	5.3 #8	9.8 #9	4.0 #12	7.0 #19	11.0 #13

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.