Raiders @ Eagles: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 15, 2025)

Sun, Dec 14, 2025, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 15 · at Philadelphia Eagles

Weather at kickoff27°F13 mphgusts 28DryWindy Over 46% of 93 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Las Vegas Raiders

2-11 · Power #30

final

Final

Philadelphia Eagles

8-5 · Power #9

▲ winner

Closing spread

PHI -12.5

✓ PHI W

Total

36.5

▼ Under · 31 pts

Model before kickoff

LV 11–23 PHI

✓ PHI (87%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenPHI -12.5

ClosePHI -12.5

Total40.5 → 36.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenPHI -12.5

no move

ClosePHI -12.5

No change since the open

Total

Open40.5

▼ 4

Close36.5

Down 4 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened PHI -12.5 · unchangedmodel PHI -13

model PHI -13

Openline modelKickoff

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenPHI -12.5

ClosePHI -12.5

Total40.5 → 36.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 6 games most like PHI as a 12.5-point home favorite against LV, the favorite won 6, covered 2, and 2 went over the total.

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This game: PHI won 31–0; the favorite covered, as in 2 of the 6 similar games. 31 points stayed under 36.5, as in 4 of 6.

Favorite won

6 of 6100%

Normal range · usually 84%

Favorite covered

2 of 633%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

2 of 633%

Normal range · usually 53%

Only 6 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 8.2 against an average line of 12.1; 39.2 points a game (usually 45.5). Of the 2 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 6 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	KC vs LV 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar season form & team ratings	-13.5	19–17	L	U41.5
Loose	NE vs NYJ 2025 · Week 11 · loose · similar situation	-12.5	27–14	W	U42.5
Loose	LAC vs LV 2025 · Week 13 · loose · similar season form & team ratings	-9.5	31–14	W	O40.5
Loose	PHI vs NYG 2023 · Week 16 · loose · similar rest & season form	-14	33–25	L	O41
Loose	DEN vs LV 2025 · Week 10 · loose · similar situation & season form	-9.5	10–7	L	U41.5
Loose	PHI vs CAR 2024 · Week 14 · loose · similar rest & situation	-13.5	22–16	L	U44.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LV WLLLW	5-8	38%	2-4	4-6
PHI WWLLL	7-6	54%	3-3	6-6

Venue/role: LV away, as underdog; PHI home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LV UOUOO	6-7	46%	2-11
PHI UUUUU	5-8	38%	8-5

Stayed under: it needed 13 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 55% of games with totals 33.5–39.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LV	1-9 10%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%
PHI	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

LV 3–4 PHI PHI leads · 7 games since 2001 · PHI has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LV−2.0 →−5.7▼ 3.7#31

PHI+3.2 →+1.9▼ 1.3#10

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW14

Longer bar = better

PHI

#31

Offense

PHI better ▶

#19

#21

Defense

PHI better ▶

#10

−0.2 #22

Turnovers

PHI better ▶

+0.2 #10

57 plays #29

Pace

PHI faster ▶

59 plays #25

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LV has the ball

Advantage: PHI defense

	LV off	PHI def	Edge
Points / game	15.1 #32	20.8 #9	PHI
Yards / play	4.53 #30	5.22 #14	PHI
EPA / play	−0.19 #32	−0.06 #8	PHI
Success rate	39% #30	43% #10	PHI

When PHI has the ball

Even matchup

	PHI off	LV def	Edge
Points / game	22.2 #19	25.5 #24	PHI
Yards / play	5.28 #17	5.16 #11	LV
EPA / play	0.00 #16	+0.04 #23	PHI
Success rate	42% #25	46% #24	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

LV scoring against the PHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LV scored	3.5 #26	3.3 #31	6.8 #32	2.1 #31	5.7 #23	7.8 #30
PHI allowed	4.6 #19	5.2 #7	9.8 #9	3.9 #11	6.9 #19	10.8 #11

PHI scoring against the LV defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PHI scored	6.3 #4	6.5 #20	12.8 #8	4.3 #21	5.1 #28	9.4 #26
LV allowed	5.0 #21	7.8 #21	12.8 #21	7.0 #30	5.2 #5	12.2 #20

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.