Ravens @ Bengals: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 15, 2025)

Sun, Dec 14, 2025, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 15 · at Cincinnati Bengals · Division game

Weather at kickoff8°F8 mphgusts 21DryCold Over 55% of 98 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Baltimore Ravens

6-7 · Power #14

▲ winner

Final

Cincinnati Bengals

4-9 · Power #24

final

Closing spread

BAL -2.5

✓ BAL W

Total

51.5

▼ Under · 24 pts

Model before kickoff

BAL 28–25 CIN

✓ BAL (60%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenBAL -3

CloseBAL -2.5

Total51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenBAL -3

0.5 → CIN

CloseBAL -2.5

0.5 pts toward Cincinnati Bengals

Total

Open51.5

no move

Close51.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened BAL -3 · closed BAL -2.5 · moved 0.5 toward CINmodel BAL -5.5

model BAL -5.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 62%, covered 53% (142 games)ⓘ

Moved off 3The team the line moved toward covered 25% (20 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenBAL -3

CloseBAL -2.5

Total51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like BAL as a 2.5-point road favorite at CIN, the favorite won 9, covered 7, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: BAL won 24–0; the favorite covered, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 24 points stayed under 51.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 61%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6.2 against an average line of 3.3; 51.6 points a game (usually 44.1). Of the 6 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	CHI @ CIN 2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & rest	-2.5	47–42	W	O51.5
Close	SF @ NYG 2025 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	34–24	W	O47.5
Close	GB @ LAR 2024 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	24–19	W	U49.5
Close	GB @ JAX 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & total	-3.5	30–27	L	O49.5
Close	LAC @ MIA 2025 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & season form	-3.5	29–27	L	O45.5
Close	TB @ DAL 2024 · Week 16 · close · similar rest	-4.5	24–26	L	O47.5
Close	CIN @ DAL 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar season form	-4.5	27–20	W	U50.5
Close	DAL @ LV 2025 · Week 11 · close · similar season form & spread	-3.5	33–16	W	O48.5
Close	KC @ ATL 2024 · Week 3 · close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	22–17	W	U46.5
Close	LAR @ NYJ 2024 · Week 16 · close · similar spread & situation	-2.5	19–9	W	U46.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BAL WLLLL	4-9	31%	2-3	4-7
CIN LLWWW	6-7	46%	3-3	5-5

Venue/role: BAL away, as favorite; CIN home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
BAL UOUUO	8-5	62%	6-7
CIN OUUUO	8-5	62%	4-9

Stayed under: it needed 35 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 42% of games with totals 48.5–54.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BAL	5-5 50%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%
CIN	2-8 20%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

BAL 30–25 CIN BAL leads · 55 games since 1999 · BAL has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 27 2025	Cincinnati Bengals 32 @ Baltimore Ravens 14	BAL -7	CIN W
Nov 7 2024	Cincinnati Bengals 34 @ Baltimore Ravens 35	BAL -5.5	CIN W
Oct 6 2024	Baltimore Ravens 41 @ Cincinnati Bengals 38	BAL -2.5	BAL W
Nov 16 2023	Cincinnati Bengals 20 @ Baltimore Ravens 34	BAL -3.5	BAL W
Sep 17 2023	Baltimore Ravens 27 @ Cincinnati Bengals 24	—	—

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

BAL+3.6 →+0.8▼ 2.8#15

CIN+0.5 →−3.6▼ 4.1#28

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW14

BAL

Longer bar = better

CIN

#16

Offense

Even

#19

#20

Defense

◀ BAL better

#32

−0.4 #27

Turnovers

CIN better ▶

−0.3 #23

58 plays #28

Pace

CIN faster ▶

60 plays #20

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When BAL has the ball

Advantage: BAL offense

	BAL off	CIN def	Edge
Points / game	23.9 #13	31.8 #32	BAL
Yards / play	5.58 #10	6.32 #32	BAL
EPA / play	−0.02 #21	+0.17 #32	BAL
Success rate	43% #21	50% #32	BAL

When CIN has the ball

Even matchup

	CIN off	BAL def	Edge
Points / game	24.2 #12	24.6 #22	CIN
Yards / play	5.22 #20	5.45 #21	Even
EPA / play	−0.03 #26	+0.03 #21	BAL
Success rate	44% #17	43% #14	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

BAL scoring against the CIN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BAL scored	3.8 #23	5.6 #27	9.4 #25	7.6 #1	6.9 #14	14.5 #2
CIN allowed	5.1 #22	9.6 #31	14.7 #28	7.1 #31	10.0 #30	17.1 #32

CIN scoring against the BAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CIN scored	4.3 #19	6.9 #15	11.2 #18	4.5 #18	8.5 #5	12.9 #10
BAL allowed	4.1 #11	7.5 #20	11.6 #18	6.2 #28	6.8 #17	13.0 #22

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.