Bengals @ Ravens: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2025)

Thu, Nov 27, 2025, 8:20 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Baltimore Ravens · Division game

Weather at kickoff37°F9 mphgusts 19DryCold Over 55% of 98 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Cincinnati Bengals

3-8 · Power #24

▲ winner

Final

Baltimore Ravens

6-5 · Power #14

final

Closing spread

BAL -7

✓ CIN W

Total

52.5

▼ Under · 46 pts

Model before kickoff

CIN 22–30 BAL

✗ BAL (75%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenBAL -6.5

CloseBAL -7

Total52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenBAL -6.5

0.5 → BAL

CloseBAL -7

0.5 pts toward Baltimore Ravens

Total

Open52.5

no move

Close52.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened BAL -6.5 · closed BAL -7 · moved 0.5 toward BALmodel BAL -12

model BAL -12

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 6–8 since 2023: won 76%, covered 52% (90 games)ⓘ

Moved onto 7Too few earlier games to rateⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenBAL -6.5

CloseBAL -7

Total52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like BAL as a 7-point home favorite against CIN, the favorite won 6, covered 4, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: CIN won 32–14 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 46 points stayed under 52.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 72%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 55%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 7.2 against an average line of 7.4; 52.6 points a game (usually 46.4). Of the 6 overs, 3 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	ATL vs CAR 2024 · Week 18 · very close · similar season form & spread	-7.5	38–44	L	O48.5
Close	PHI vs JAX 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar spread & situation	-7.5	28–23	L	O46.5
Close	SF vs ARI 2024 · Week 5 · close · similar spread & situation	-7.5	23–24	L	U48.5
Loose	SF vs CAR 2025 · Week 12 · loose · similar spread & situation	-7	20–9	W	U48.5
Loose	TB vs CAR 2024 · Week 17 · loose · similar situation	-9.5	48–14	W	O47.5
Loose	TB vs LV 2024 · Week 14 · loose · similar spread & situation	-6.5	28–13	W	U47.5
Loose	CIN vs WSH 2024 · Week 3 · loose · similar spread & season form	-7.5	33–38	L	O46.5
Loose	MIA vs NE 2024 · Week 12 · loose · similar situation & spread	-7.5	34–15	W	O45.5
Loose	SF vs SEA 2024 · Week 11 · loose · similar spread & situation	-6.5	17–20	L	U48.5
Loose	BUF vs MIA 2024 · Week 9 · loose · similar spread & situation	-6.5	30–27	L	O49.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CIN WLLLW	4-7	36%	1-4	3-5
BAL WWWLL	4-7	36%	2-4	4-5

Venue/role: CIN away, as underdog; BAL home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CIN OOOUU	7-4	64%	3-8
BAL OUUOU	7-4	64%	6-5

Stayed under: it needed 13 in the 4th quarter and got 6. 44% of games with totals 49.5–55.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CIN	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	7-3 70%
BAL	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 4 since 2023

CIN 25–30 BAL BAL leads · 55 games since 1999 · BAL has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 7 2024	Cincinnati Bengals 34 @ Baltimore Ravens 35	BAL -5.5	CIN W
Oct 6 2024	Baltimore Ravens 41 @ Cincinnati Bengals 38	BAL -2.5	BAL W
Nov 16 2023	Cincinnati Bengals 20 @ Baltimore Ravens 34	BAL -3.5	BAL W
Sep 17 2023	Baltimore Ravens 27 @ Cincinnati Bengals 24	—	—

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CIN+0.5 →−4.7▼ 5.2#30

BAL+3.6 →+1.9▼ 1.7#11

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

CIN

Longer bar = better

BAL

#20

Offense

BAL better ▶

#15

#32

Defense

BAL better ▶

#19

−0.6 #28

Turnovers

BAL better ▶

0.0 #15

59 plays #23

Pace

◀ CIN faster

57 plays #30

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CIN has the ball

Even matchup

	CIN off	BAL def	Edge
Points / game	22.5 #18	23.7 #19	Even
Yards / play	5.20 #19	5.47 #20	Even
EPA / play	−0.05 #25	+0.02 #22	Even
Success rate	44% #18	44% #16	Even

When BAL has the ball

Advantage: BAL offense

	BAL off	CIN def	Edge
Points / game	25.0 #10	32.7 #32	BAL
Yards / play	5.55 #12	6.29 #31	BAL
EPA / play	+0.01 #17	+0.20 #32	BAL
Success rate	44% #19	51% #32	BAL

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

CIN scoring against the BAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CIN scored	4.2 #19	6.1 #23	10.3 #22	4.0 #21	8.3 #6	12.3 #12
BAL allowed	3.9 #9	7.2 #21	11.1 #17	5.2 #23	7.5 #23	12.6 #25

BAL scoring against the CIN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BAL scored	3.5 #24	6.1 #23	9.6 #25	7.7 #1	7.6 #11	15.4 #1
CIN allowed	5.1 #22	10.6 #32	15.7 #30	7.1 #31	9.9 #30	17.0 #32

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.