Chiefs @ Cowboys: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2025)

Thu, Nov 27, 2025, 4:30 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Dallas Cowboys

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Kansas City Chiefs

6-5 · Power #12

final

Final

Dallas Cowboys

5-5-1 · Power #21

▲ winner

Closing spread

—

Total

53.5

▲ Over · 59 pts

Model before kickoff

KC 27–23 DAL

✗ KC (65%) lost

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KC WWLLL	5-6	45%	1-3	—
DAL WLLWW	6-5	55%	3-2	—

Venue/role: KC away; DAL home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KC UUUUU	3-8	27%	6-5
DAL OOUOU	7-4	64%	5-5-1

Went over in Q4. Of 23 earlier overs in games with totals 50.5–56.5, 35% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KC	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	2-8 20%
DAL	5-4-1 56%	5-5 50%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

KC 2–4 DAL DAL leads · 6 games since 2005 · DAL has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KC+1.3 →+4.5▲ 3.2#3

DAL−1.0 →−0.5▲ 0.5#17

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

Longer bar = better

DAL

Offense

Even

#14

Defense

◀ KC better

#30

+0.1 #14

Turnovers

◀ KC better

−0.4 #24

66 plays #1

Pace

◀ KC faster

65 plays #5

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KC has the ball

Advantage: KC offense

	KC off	DAL def	Edge
Points / game	25.2 #9	28.5 #31	KC
Yards / play	5.66 #9	5.91 #28	KC
EPA / play	+0.13 #3	+0.12 #29	KC
Success rate	48% #4	49% #31	KC

When DAL has the ball

Advantage: DAL offense

	DAL off	KC def	Edge
Points / game	29.1 #4	18.3 #4	Even
Yards / play	5.97 #5	5.39 #19	DAL
EPA / play	+0.10 #6	−0.01 #15	DAL
Success rate	47% #8	45% #18	DAL

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

KC scoring against the DAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KC scored	2.6 #30	9.0 #5	11.6 #16	5.5 #8	7.7 #9	13.3 #6
DAL allowed	7.7 #31	8.3 #24	16.0 #31	4.5 #17	7.7 #24	12.3 #22

DAL scoring against the KC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DAL scored	3.5 #22	12.4 #1	15.9 #3	6.0 #7	6.6 #17	12.6 #9
KC allowed	4.0 #10	5.5 #5	9.5 #6	4.3 #15	4.5 #5	8.8 #7

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.